Bellarmine Knights vs Austin Peay Governors Betting Pick & Prediction 3/1/24

Looking to win big? The Knights and Governors face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Governors are hosting the game at F&M Bank Arena in Clarksville, TN. This Atlantic Sun conference matchup has an over/under of 138.5 points, and Austin Peay is favored to win by -9.5 at home vs. Bellarmine.

BELLARMINE KNIGHTS VS AUSTIN PEAY GOVERNORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Austin Peay Governors -9.5

This game will be played at F&M Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Friday, March 1st.

WHY BET THE AUSTIN PEAY GOVERNORS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 87-61 in favor of the Governors.
• Not only will Austin Peay pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -9.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Will Bellarmine Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Heading into their matchup with Austin Peay, Bellarmine has struggled to a record of 8-22. They have gone 4-11 in Atlantic Sun play and are currently in the midst of a three-game losing streak on the road. On the year, the Knights have gone 2-15 away from home and have been outscored by an average of 12.1 points per game.

Over their last 10 games on the road, Bellarmine has gone just 1-9. In their most recent game, the Knights lost to Lipscomb by a score of 90-74. For the year, they have gone 3-18 as the underdog, and they are currently getting 9.5 points in this one.

As the underdog this season, Bellarmine has an ATS record of 6-14-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Knights have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread. On the road, Bellarmine’s ATS mark is 5-11-1 this year, and they have gone just 2-8 ATS at home.

On the season, the over/under record in Bellarmine games is 14-13. So far this season, the average scoring total in their games is 143.1 points, which is 1.2 points higher than the average over/under line of 141.9. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 149 points compared to their season average of 143.1 points per game.

Bellarmine finished with 74 points in their game against Lipscomb. This total surpasses their season-average of 68.9 points per game. Offensively, the Knights hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 289th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 192nd in terms of percentage and 169th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Knights’ defense holds the 232nd rank in the nation, allowing 74.3 points per game. Against Lipscomb in their most recent game, the Bellarmine defense gave up a total of 90 points while allowing Lipscomb to hit 54% of their shots.

Will the Governors Find a Way to Win at Home?

After winning their last game against Eastern Kentucky, Austin Peay comes into this game with a record of 16-14. At home this season, they have gone 8-2, and over their last ten games at home, they have gone 9-1. So far this year, they have been favored in seven games and have gone 5-2 in those matchups.

On the other hand, Bellarmine has gone 8-12 as the underdog this season. They have gone 5-12 on the road, compared to 2-1 in their last three games away from home. So far this year, Austin Peay has gone 16-14, and in their last game, they scored 83 points in an 83-79 win.

As the favorite this season, Austin Peay has gone 3-3-1 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Governors have a mark of 4-5-1 ATS. At home, Austin Peay has an ATS record of 6-3-1 this year and over their last three home games, they are 1-1-1 vs. the spread.

The over/under record for Austin Peay this season is 17-10 and the over/under line for today’s game is 138.5. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 167 points.

The Austin Peay offense is coming off a game in which they scored 83 points vs. Eastern Kentucky. Overall their field goal percentage was 48.3% while connecting on 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Sai Witt with 26 points. Isaac Haney also added 22 points for the Governors.

On the defensive side, Austin Peay is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.0 points per game. Against Eastern Kentucky in their most recent game, the Austin Peay defense gave up a total of 79 points while allowing Eastern Kentucky to hit 48% of their shots.