Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

ESPN2 is handling the television broadcast for this week 12 matchup between the Baylor Bears and West Virginia Mountaineers, which is set to kick off at 4:00 ET from Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown. The over/under line is currently sitting at 59 points for this game. The Bears are the slight -2.5-point favorites on the road. Both teams come into this game with a 5-4 record on the season.

BAYLOR BEARS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers +2.5

This game will be played at Milan Puskar Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS:

• We have the Baylor Bears winning this one by a score of 32 to 30
• Even though we like the Baylor Bears to win, our ATS pick is to take the West Virginia Mountaineers at +2.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 59 points

Will The Baylor Bears Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Baylor enters Week 12 against West Virginia with a 5-4 record, ranked 46th in our power rankings. They have an 89.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but just a 0.5% shot at winning the Big 12.

The Bears have gone 3-1 at home and 1-2 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in four games, going 3-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +6.8 points per game, and they’ve covered the spread in five of seven games.

Baylor’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 60.3 points. This week’s line is set at 59 points, compared to their average line of 53.1 points.

Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.6 points per game, ranking 26th in the nation, and they are 36th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,783 yards with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 101.

The Bears are averaging 185.2 rushing yards per game. Bryson Washington leads the team with 576 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored seven touchdowns. Josh Cameron has seven receiving touchdowns and 424 yards on 29 catches.

Defensively, Baylor has allowed 26.8 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent win over TCU. They gave up 468 total yards, with 175 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, along with 293 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 145.9 rushing yards per game against Baylor and 229.4 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 56.8% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 82.7 against the Bears.

Will The West Virginia Mountaineers Win At Home Over The Baylor Bears?

West Virginia enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, hosting Baylor. They’ve gone 1-3 at home but are 3-1 on the road. The Mountaineers have been favored in just two games this season and hold a +1.1 average scoring margin. They have an 85% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections.

Against the spread, West Virginia is 4-4, with a 3-1 record on the road and 1-3 at home. They are 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 3-3 as the underdog.

Their over/under record stands at 5-3, with an average line of 55.8 points. This week’s line is set at 59, and their games have averaged 56.9 points per contest.

West Virginia’s offense is averaging 29 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 46th in the nation. However, they rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. Their strength lies in the run game, with 193.2 rushing yards per game on 38.4 attempts.

Jahiem White leads the team with 572 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,352 yards with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions. West Virginia ranks 95th in passing yards per game.

West Virginia’s defense has allowed an average of 27.9 points per game this season, ranking 67th nationally. In their recent game against Cincinnati, they gave up 24 points, allowing 436 total yards, including 279 passing yards, while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 263 passing yards per game against West Virginia, completing 63.3% of their passes. On the ground, the Mountaineers have allowed 128.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 51st in the country.