Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24
Iowa State is the heavy favorite in this week six matchup against Baylor, with the point spread set at -12.5 in their favor. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, and FOX will be handling the broadcast. The over/under line is currently at 45.5 points. The Cyclones are 4-0 on the season, while Baylor comes in with a 2-3 record.
BAYLOR BEARS VS IOWA STATE CYCLONES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Iowa State Cyclones -12.5
This game will be played at Jack Trice Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
WHY BET THE IOWA STATE CYCLONES:
- We have the Iowa State Cyclones winning this one by a score of 27 to 14
- Not only do we have the Iowa State Cyclones winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -12.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Will The Baylor Bears Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Baylor enters Week 6 with a 2-3 record and a 58th-place ranking in our CFB power rankings. They have a 37.1% chance of being bowl-eligible this season. So far, Baylor is 1-1 at home and 0-1 on the road.
Against the spread, Baylor is 2-1, with an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game. They are 1-0 ATS on the road and 1-1 at home, going 1-1 as the favorite this season.
The over/under line for this week is 45.5 points. Baylor’s games have averaged 49.6 points, with their over/under record at 1-2. Their average over/under line this season has been 48.6 points.
Heading into week 6, Baylor’s offense is averaging 29.4 points per game, placing them 52nd nationally. They are ranked 86th in our offensive power rankings. The Bears have focused on their ground game, averaging 38 rushing attempts per game, but they are only producing 146.2 rushing yards per game.
Sawyer Robertson leads Baylor’s passing attack with 787 yards and a passer rating of 97. He has thrown six touchdowns and two interceptions. Baylor ranks 42nd in passing attempts and completions, averaging 222.6 yards per game. Josh Cameron has 267 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.
Despite a tough 34-28 loss to BYU, Baylor’s defense managed to force two interceptions, though they allowed 369 total yards, including 216 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air.
On the season, Baylor ranks 38th nationally, giving up 20.2 points per game. They’ve allowed 144 rushing yards per game and 156.8 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing just 47.6% of their passes, the seventh-lowest percentage in the country.
Are The Iowa State Cyclones Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Iowa State enters Week 6 against Baylor with a 4-0 record and is ranked 22nd in our power rankings. They have a 99% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 20.3% chance of winning the Big 12. The Cyclones also have a 25% chance of making the CFB playoff, which ranks 17th in the country.
Iowa State is 3-0 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +21 points per game. They’ve been favored in two of their four games, going 2-0 ATS as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 45.5 points. Iowa State’s average over/under line this season is 43.7 points, and their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 35.5 points.
Heading into week 6, Iowa State’s offense is averaging 28.2 points per game, placing them 57th in the nation. However, they rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Rocco Becht has thrown for 896 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions, boasting a passer rating of 106. The Cyclones rank 23rd nationally in completion percentage, completing 66.7% of their passes.
On the ground, Iowa State is averaging 163 rushing yards per game. Abu Sama III leads the team with 225 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, but he has only one rushing touchdown. Jaylin Noel is the leading receiver with 353 yards and two touchdowns on 19 catches.
Iowa State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking third in the nation by allowing just 7.2 points per game. In their recent 20-0 win over Houston, they forced two interceptions and gave up only 72 passing yards. Houston managed just 11 first downs and 243 total yards against Iowa State’s defense.
Opposing quarterbacks have struggled against Iowa State, posting a passer rating of just 34.9, the second-lowest in the country. The Cyclones rank fourth nationally, allowing only 102.5 passing yards per game. However, they have given up an average of 161.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 106th nationally.