Baylor Bears vs Houston Cougars Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
At 7:00 ET, this Baylor Bears vs. Houston Cougars matchup will be played at TDECU Stadium in Houston. The game will be broadcast on FS1, and Baylor comes in as the -7.5-point favorite on the road. The over/under line is currently 50.5 points. The money line odds have Baylor at -302 and Houston at +244. The Bears have a 6-4 record, while the Cougars are 4-6 this season.
BAYLOR BEARS VS HOUSTON COUGARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Cougars +7.5
This game will be played at TDECU Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON COUGARS:
- We have the Houston Cougars winning this one by a score of 32 to 24
- Not only do we have the Houston Cougars winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 50.5 points
Will The Baylor Bears Win As Road Favorites?
With a 6-4 record, Baylor is guaranteed bowl eligibility, but their chances of winning the Big 12 are slim at 0.6%. The Bears are 3-1 at home and 2-2 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in five of their ten games, going 4-1 as the favorite. Baylor’s average scoring margin is +7.5 points per game.
Baylor has a 6-2 record against the spread, covering the line in both home (3-1) and away (3-1) games. As the favorite, they are 4-1 ATS this season.
The over/under record for Baylor’s games is 6-2, with their contests averaging 62.7 points. Their average over/under line is 53.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 50.5 points.
Heading into week 13, Baylor’s offense ranks 19th in points per game, averaging 35.1, and they are 20th in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 2,112 yards with 20 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 105.
Baylor ranks 26th nationally in passer rating and 49th in passing yards per game, averaging 243.8. On the ground, they average 185.4 rushing yards per game. Bryson Washington leads the rushing attack with 699 yards, 10 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 525 yards and 8 touchdowns.
Baylor’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 27.6 points per game. In their recent game against West Virginia, they gave up 35 points and 499 total yards, including 262 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 157.5 rushing yards per game against Baylor, while quarterbacks have posted a 56% completion rate and 230.2 passing yards per game.
Are The Houston Cougars Going Win In At Upset At TDECU Stadium
Houston enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, facing Baylor at home. They’ve gone 3-2 at home this season and are ranked 82nd in our power rankings. With just a 3.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, the Cougars are looking to finish strong.
They’ve been favored in only two games this year, going 1-1 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -8.5 points per game, and they’ve gone 5-5 against the spread.
Their over/under record is 1-9, with an average line of 46.7 points. This week’s line is set at 50.5, with eight games having lower totals and two higher than this week’s line.
Heading into week 13, Houston’s offense ranks 118th in our CFB offensive power rankings, averaging just 14 points per game. They’ve struggled on third downs, converting only 26.3% of their attempts, and their passing game ranks 122nd nationally with 152.9 yards per game. Donovan Smith has thrown for 867 yards with a passer rating of 68, recording four touchdowns and eight interceptions.
Smith has completed 65.4% of his passes, and Houston ranks 18th in the nation in completion percentage. On the ground, they average 144.1 rushing yards per game. Re’Shaun Sanford II leads the team with 376 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Joseph Manjack IV has 326 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Houston’s defense has allowed 22.5 points per game this season, ranking 38th nationally. In their recent game against Arizona, they gave up 27 points, including 224 passing yards and two touchdowns, while forcing one interception. Arizona also rushed for 117 yards on 34 carries.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 189.5 passing yards per game against Houston, completing 61.7% of their passes. Houston’s defense has faced the 40th fewest pass attempts in the country, and they’ve allowed 134.1 rushing yards per game on average.