Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick & Prediction 9/5/24

The Ravens and Chiefs will kick off their season on Thursday, September 5th at 8:20 ET. The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -152 and are -3 point favorites on the point spread. The over/under line is sitting at 46.5 points. This week one AFC matchup is being televised on NBC.

BALTIMORE RAVENS VS KANSAS CITY CHIEFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -3

This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 8:20 ET on Thursday, September 5th.

WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS:

• We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 24 to 16
• Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points

Will The Ravens Pick Up A Win On The Road?

The Ravens are coming off a season in which they were 13-4 overall and advanced to the AFC Conference Championship before falling to the Chiefs (17-10). Baltimore excelled in non-conference games, going 5-0, and they were tough against good teams, going 11-5 against opponents with winning records. They also finished the season as the top team in the AFC North and the top team in the AFC overall.

Against the spread, the Ravens were 12-7, including a 10-6 mark as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog. Their over/under record was 8-10-1, with their games averaging 43.9 points. At home, the Ravens went 5-3 ATS as favorites and 0-1 as underdogs. On the road, they went 4-2 ATS as favorites and 2-0 ATS as underdogs.

Despite finishing 29th in passing attempts, the Ravens were 3rd in passing yards per attempt last season. They were also 8th in offensive power ranking, averaging 27.7 points per game, which was 4th in the NFL. On the ground, Baltimore led the league in both rushing attempts and rushing yards, averaging 156.4 yards per game on 4.9 yards per attempt. Overall, they were 6th in yards per game, averaging 367.6 yards per contest.

The Ravens excelled on third downs, converting 42% of their opportunities, and were also one of the best teams in the league at running the ball to pick up first downs, ranking 2nd in the percentage of first downs gained through rushing. In the red zone, they had the 2nd most attempts but ranked 31st in red zone conversion percentage.

At home, the Ravens allowed 17 points per game, ranking 5th, but they were the best defense in the league last season, giving up just 16.2 points per game overall. They also led the league in sacks, with a total of 62, and were 6th in quarterback hits. Baltimore’s defense excelled in taking the ball away, leading the league with 31 takeaways and having the best turnover differential in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks had a tough time against the Ravens, managing a collective passer rating of 71.64, which was the best in the league. Baltimore also excelled in limiting big plays in the passing game, giving up just 5.1 yards per attempt. In the running game, they gave up 4.5 yards per attempt, which ranked 10th in the league.

Will The Chiefs Win At Home Over The Ravens?

Baltimore is coming off a season in which they advanced to the AFC Conference Championship before losing to the Chiefs. The Ravens were tough on the road, going 7-1, and they excelled against good teams, going 11-5 vs. above .500 teams. Overall, they were 13-4, and they finished the season with a 10-6 record vs. the spread. Baltimore also finished the season ranked 17th in the league in average combined scoring, with their games averaging 43.9 points.

The Ravens were the top team in the AFC North last season, finishing with a 3-3 record within their division. They were also the top team in the division, finishing with a 13-4 record. Baltimore’s games resulted in an 8-10-1 over/under record.

The Ravens were 4th in the league last season, averaging 27.7 points per game, and they were also 4th in both home and road scoring. Baltimore’s offense was 8th in the league, and they excelled in the running game, leading the NFL in both rushing attempts and yards per game, averaging 156.4 yards per game on the ground. They were also 3rd in rushing yards per attempt.

Despite being 29th in passing attempts per game, the Ravens were 3rd in passing yards per attempt. They finished the season with 367.6 yards per game, and 42% of their third down attempts were converted, ranking 8th in the league.

Allowing just 16.2 points per game, the Ravens were the top-ranked defense in the NFL last season. They excelled in creating turnovers, leading the league with 31 takeaways, and also had the best turnover differential. Baltimore’s defense was also tough against the pass, allowing just 5.1 yards per attempt, which was the best in the league.

The Ravens’ secondary gave up the fewest passing touchdowns, and their run defense was equally impressive, giving up the fewest rushing touchdowns. They also led the league in sacks and were tough to score on in the red zone, allowing a red zone scoring percentage of just 40.8%.