Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 8/9/24

At 6:50 PM ET, the Orioles and Rays square off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and has the Orioles as the slight money line favorite (-130). The Rays are +111 on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Both teams are starting a pitcher with the first name of Zack, as the Orioles have Zach Eflin on the mound, while the Rays are going with Zack Littell. Baltimore is currently 1st in the AL East, while the Rays are 4th, with an overall record of 58-56.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -130

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Friday, August 9th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS RAYS:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 7-6 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorite at -109 on the money line. Things started off well for the Orioles, as they got on the board with two runs in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Blue Jays scored three times in the bottom of the first.

Dean Kremer got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Orioles scored their six runs on eight hits and a Colton Cowser home run. Ryan O’Hearn also had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.

Baltimore heads into today’s game vs. the Rays with a record of 68-48, which has them tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles are 24-12 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Blue Jays.

At home, the Orioles have gone 34-25 this year, and they are 34-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 56-38 this year, and they are 25-16 as the favorite on the road. The Orioles’ overall series record is 21-11-4 this year.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have a run line record of 33-24, which is a winning percentage of 57.9%. Their average run differential in those games is +0.9 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 62-54, with an average run differential of +0.8 runs per game.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road to face the Tampa Bay Rays in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Orioles have a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-41. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-6. The over has hit in two straight games for Baltimore.

Zach Eflin is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Guardians and picked up the win. In that start, he went 6 1/3 innings and only gave up two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Eflin has made 21 starts and has a record of 7-7. His ERA for the season is 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Opposing batters are hitting .262 off Eflin this season. Out of his 21 starts, Eflin has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.14 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also 1st in isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game (3rd) and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 (6th) and have the league’s top slugging percentage. Baltimore is also near the top of the league in OPS and on-base percentage.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 34 homers are 2nd in the league. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/42 with four homers over his last 10 games. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season for the Orioles, batting .285 with 29 homers.

Rays Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Cardinals, the Rays closed out the series with a 6-4 win. Tampa Bay was the slight underdog at +105 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Rays, as they scored two runs, and added another two runs in the 7th to close things out. Tampa Bay’s offense was carried by Brandon Lowe, who went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Shane Baz got the start for the Rays, going 4 1/3 innings, and took the win. He did struggle with his command, giving up four earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. Richard Lovelady, Pete Fairbanks, and Matt Wisler closed things out, with Fairbanks picking up the save.

Tampa Bay is 4th in the AL East with a record of 58-56, putting them nine games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Overall, they are 16-21 against other teams in the AL East. The Rays will take on the Orioles today, and they are 30-29 at home this year.

As the favorite, the Rays have gone 30-27 this season and 28-29 as the underdog. At home, they are 9-11 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 20-12-4, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Cardinals 2-1.

The Rays have been a strong run line team on the road this season, going 34-21 against the run line. Overall, they are 58-56 against the run line, with an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 36-21, compared to 22-35 as a favorite.

The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Rays have played in 73 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 64.0% of their games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 53-56 on the year.

Tampa Bay is sending Zack Littell to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that start vs. the Astros, Littell went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he has made eight quality starts this year and has a record of 5-7 with a 4.06 ERA. Littell’s ERA at home is 3.05 compared to 6.77 on the road. Overall, he has a BB/9 figure of 1.73 compared to 8.12 strikeouts per nine innings.

Brandon Lowe has been swinging a hot bat for the Rays of late, going 12/39 in his last nine games with two homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .265 with 14 homers. Christopher Morel, who leads the Rays with 53 RBIs, has struggled of late, going just 3/25 in his last seven games. Morel is also batting just .194 for the season.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and are batting a combined .235. However, they do have a few players with good on-base percentages, and they are 9th in the league in walks. Overall, they have the 13th best on-base percentage in the league.