Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 7/4/24
The Orioles and Mariners will face off in an AL matchup at 4:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. Baltimore is 55-31 and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. Seattle has a record of 47-41 and they are 1st in the AL West.
Thursday’s money line odds have the Orioles as the favorite (-148), while the Mariners are the slight underdog (+126). The over/under line is at 7 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN. Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles, and he will face off against Bryce Miller for the Mariners.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline +126
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 4:10 ET on Thursday, July 4th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Baltimore cruised to a 4-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight underdogs at +124.
Dean Kremer started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Logan Gilbert got the start for the Mariners and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Ryan O’Hearn hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with three RBIs. Cal Raleigh hit a solo homer for the Mariners and went 1/4.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles hold a two-game lead over the Yankees in the AL East, heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mariners. Overall, the Orioles are 55-31 and have won two straight games, which includes taking the first two games of this series vs. the Mariners. In divisional games this year, the Orioles are 19-7.
At home, the Orioles have gone 29-17 this year, and they have been really good on the road, going 26-14. As the favorite, the Orioles are 44-25 this year and 11-6 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 18-6-3.
On the road this season, the Orioles have covered the run line in 26 of 40 games, including their last two. Their average run margin in those games is +1.6. They have been favored in 69 games, covering the run line in 37 of them. In games they have won, their average run margin is +3.9.
When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs per game, but today’s line is set at 7 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-33. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 4-4-4. A whopping 86% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs this season, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 2.28 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.03. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Burnes most recently faced the Rangers, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back outings.
As a team, the Orioles lead the league in both home runs and runs scored this season. They are averaging 5.2 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Baltimore also has the league’s top slugging percentage and OPS. The team’s collective batting average is .254, which is 6th best in the league.
Anthony Santander has been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/19 in his last five games with a home run. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 22 homers but has a batting average of just .234. Gunnar Henderson has been a great run producer for the Orioles, as his 58 RBIs are the best mark in the league. He is also 3rd in the league with 26 homers and is batting .284.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is currently 47-41 overall, putting them 1st in the AL West. The Mariners lead the Astros by 2 games for the top spot in the division. The Mariners have dropped four straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mariners are 28-16 this season, but they have gone just 19-25 on the road. This year, the Mariners have been great against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5 so far. As the home underdog, the Mariners are 6-5 this season, and their overall record as the underdog is 17-19. Seattle’s series record is 13-12-2, but they have dropped four straight series.
Seattle is 21-23 against the run line at home this season, with an average run margin of +0.6. The Mariners have lost their last five home games against the run line and are 3-3 in their last six games overall. Seattle is 19-17 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The Seattle Mariners are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The Mariners’ games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-48. When the over/under line has been set at 7 runs, their record is 7-13-4. Overall, 67.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs, and their games have gone under the total in each of their last two contests.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.88. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Twins. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road. Miller has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 2.18 compared to 6.75 on the road.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 15 home runs are the best mark on the team and 12th in the MLB. However, he has struggled with his batting average, coming in at just .201. Mitch Garver is also near the top of the Mariners’ home run leaderboard, but he has a batting average of just .176. Garver has gone deep 10 times this season.
Julio Rodriguez is batting .244 for the season and has gone deep seven times. He is 3rd on the team with 29 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Cal Raleigh has three homers, but is just 6/27 (.222). As a team, the Mariners are batting just .216 and are averaging only 3.8 runs per contest.