Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 7/3/24
Wednesday’s Orioles vs. Mariners game has a first pitch set for 10:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Orioles are 54-31 and they are starting Dean Kremer. The Mariners are 47-40 and will send Logan Gilbert to the mound. Seattle is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -122 compared to the Orioles at +103. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.
RSNW will be televising this AL matchup, and the Mariners will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak. They are currently first in the AL West, while the Orioles are first in the AL East.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline +103
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 10:10 ET on Wednesday, July 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS MARINERS:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Baltimore picked up a 2-0 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a one-run lead heading into the 7th inning and added an insurance run in the top of the 9th. As for the Mariners, they had their best scoring chance in the 7th, loading the bases with no outs, but could only muster one run.
Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued four walks. As for the Mariners, George Kirby got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Anthony Santander and Ryan O’Hearn each had two hits and an RBI for the Orioles’ offense. Colton Cowser also had a two-hit game and scored a run. Josh Rojas did the most damage for the Mariners, going 2/2 with a walk.
Orioles Records & Stats
With an overall record of 54-31, the Orioles lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. So far, they have been excellent against other teams in their division, going 19-7. Baltimore has been good both at home (29-17) and on the road (25-14) this season.
Baltimore has gone 44-25 as the favorite this year and 10-6 as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Orioles are 18-6-3 this year. They took the first game of this series vs. the Mariners and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Orioles have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 25-14. They have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game overall, and that number is slightly higher on the road at 1.5 runs per game. Baltimore has been favored in 69 games this season, and they have gone 37-32 against the run line in those contests.
With an average combined run average of 9.0 runs per game, the Orioles have seen an over/under record of 43-32 this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Mariners is set at 7 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs this season, the Orioles have a record of 4-3-4. In 87.1% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs.
Right-hander Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.32. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Kremer has allowed a total of 10 home runs this season. Looking at his ERA splits, Kremer has an ERA of 3.88 on the road compared to 6.47 at home.
As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. Baltimore’s offense has also been the best home run hitting team in the league this season. Overall, they are batting .255, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB right now.
Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Henderson leading the team with 26 homers, and Rutschman is right behind him with 15. Rutschman also comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .291. Henderson has driven in 58 runs this season, which is the best mark in the league. Over his last four games, Heston Kjerstad has gone 5/12 with two homers and eight RBIs.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is currently 47-40 overall, putting them three games ahead of the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners have dropped three straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Orioles. So far, they have been really good against other teams in the AL West, putting up a record of 17-5.
At home, the Mariners are 28-15 this year, but they have dropped three straight at home. On the road, Seattle is 19-25. As the favorite, the Mariners are 30-21 this year and 17-19 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-12-2, but they have dropped four straight series.
Seattle has been a .500 team against the run line this season, with a 40-47 record. They have been slightly better at home, going 21-22, compared to 19-25 on the road. As the favorite, they have been a poor bet, going 21-30, while they have been profitable as the underdog, going 19-17. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.0, while it is -3.4 in losing games.
Seattle has played in 59 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 67.8% of their games. Their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 35-47 on the season. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 7-12-4. The average over/under line for their games this season is set at 8 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 2.72 ERA. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is .88, and opponents are batting .190 off him this season. Gilbert has made 14 quality starts this season and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but he had given up a homer in three straight starts before that.
Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver have been the Mariners’ top home run hitters this season, but both players have struggled in terms of batting average. Raleigh is hitting just .200, and Garver is even worse at .172. Garver has also gone just 3/19 in his last six games, with two home runs. Julio Rodriguez is batting .244 for the season and has seven homers, which is 5th in the league right now.
As a team, the Mariners are batting just .217, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also last in the league in strikeouts and are averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Seattle is also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.