Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 7/2/24

At 9:40 PM ET, the Orioles and Mariners will face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Orioles are favored on the money line, with their line sitting at -116 compared to the Mariners at -101. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

Baltimore leads the AL East with a record of 53-31, while the Mariners are atop the AL West at 47-39. George Kirby will start for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Grayson Rodriguez for the Orioles. MASN will be televising Tuesday’s Orioles vs. Mariners matchup.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -116

This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, July 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS MARINERS:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mariners to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a tough 11-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the heavy favorite at -174. Things really got away from the Orioles in the 4th inning, as the Rangers scored three runs in the inning. Baltimore’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.

Cole Irvin got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Orioles had seven hits but only scored two runs. Ryan O’Hearn was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.

With an overall record of 53-31, the Orioles are tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead heading into today’s road game vs. the Mariners. Baltimore leads the AL East in terms of division record, going 19-7 against other AL East teams. The Orioles closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a win and took the series 3-1.

So far, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, going 43-25 and 10-6 as the underdog. At home, they are 29-17 and have gone 24-14 on the road. As the road favorite, the Orioles are 16-9 this season. Currently, they have dropped three straight games on the road, and their overall record is 18-6-3 in series this year.

The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 48-36 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 24-14 against the run line. They have a run differential of +1.5 runs per game on the road, compared to +1.2 runs per game at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 12-4 against the run line in those games.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-31. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 6-6. Overall, 73.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.

Right-hander Grayson Rodriguez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.72 ERA. Rodriguez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his 14 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of 10 home runs. In his most recent outing, Rodriguez gave up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Baltimore’s offense has also been the best in the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. They have the most home runs in the league and have the top team isolated power rating.

Gunnar Henderson has been on a tear of late, going 11/28 in his last seven games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .288 with a team-high 26 home runs. Adley Rutschman has also been a key power source for the Orioles, as he is 11th in the league with 15 homers and is batting .294.

Mariners Records & Stats

Led by a big game by Luke Raley at the plate, the Mariners are coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. Raley went 3/5 with a double, run scored, and RBI. The Mariners also got a good start from Luis Castillo, going five innings and giving up three runs on six hits. However, they took the loss, as Seattle was the -106 favorite at home going into the game.

Ryne Stanek took the loss out of the bullpen for the Mariners, as Seattle allowed two runs in the top of the 8th to blow their lead. Looking ahead, the Mariners will need to get their offense going to close out the series vs. the Twins. Seattle is currently in 3rd place in the AL West, 4.5 games back of the Astros.

Seattle is 47-39 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL West. Currently, they hold a three-game lead over the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners head into today’s game having lost two straight, and they closed out their series vs. the Twins with back-to-back losses. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL West, putting together a record of 17-5.

At home, the Mariners are 28-14 this season, but they are just 19-25 on the road. This year, the Mariners are just above .500 as the underdog, coming in with a mark of 17-18. Seattle’s record as the favorite is 30-21 this season. The Mariners’ overall series record is 13-12-2, but they have dropped four straight series.

Seattle has been a solid run line team this season, going 40-46 overall. They are 21-21 at home and 19-25 on the road. The Mariners have been favored in 51 games and are 21-30 in those contests. Their average run differential is +0.1 runs per game.

The Seattle Mariners have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 7.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 35-46, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-15. In 61 games, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs or lower 58.8% of the time.

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.35 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is .97, and opponents are batting .219 off him this year. In his last outing, Kirby picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits vs. the Rays. He finished the day with seven strikeouts. Kirby has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cal Raleigh comes into the game with a team-high 14 home runs for the Mariners but is batting just .202 for the season. However, he has gone 5/20 in his last six games, with two homers and five RBIs. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .247 for the season and is also on a bit of a hot streak, going 6/21 in his last six games.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .218 and are averaging only 3.9 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of striking out, averaging 10 per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs, but their slugging percentage and OPS are both near the bottom of the league.