Baltimore Orioles vs Oakland Athletics Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24

At 4:07 PM ET, the Orioles and Athletics face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, and the Orioles are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their line sitting at -192 compared to the Athletics at +163. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Baltimore will be starting Grayson Rodriguez, while the Athletics are sending Mitch Spence to the mound. The Orioles are 56-33 this season, while the Athletics are 34-57, putting them in 1st in the AL East and 5th in the AL West. NSPCA is carrying this one on TV.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS OAKLAND ATHLETICS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8 Runs

This game will be played at Oakland Coliseum at 4:07 ET on Sunday, July 7th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS ATHLETICS:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Athletics to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Oakland cruised to a 19-8 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The A’s had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored three of their eight runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the A’s were at +133 on the money line.

Luis Medina only went five innings for the A’s but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued three walks. Cade Povich had a rough outing for the Orioles, giving up eight earned runs in just one inning of work.

Ryan Mountcastle hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Oakland’s top hitter was Brent Rooker, who went 3/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore is 56-33 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by two games over the Yankees. The Orioles are 19-7 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore has gone 29-17 at home compared to 27-16 on the road.

The Orioles have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 19-6-3 this year. They are also 18-11 as the road favorite this year. Baltimore has gone 45-27 as the favorite overall and 11-6 as the underdog.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 26-17. Their average run margin in those games is +1.1, and they have covered the run line in 13 of 17 games as an underdog.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road to face the Oakland Athletics, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Orioles have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 45-34. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 9-5-3. So far this season, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has a record of 10-3 and an ERA of 3.45. In his 15 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Mariners on July 2nd, Rodriguez picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two hits. Looking back further, he has only allowed more than two earned runs in one of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander this season.

As a team, the Orioles are the best offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They also lead the league in home runs and have the top slugging and OPS numbers in the league. So far, they are batting .256, which is 4th in the MLB. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game.

Gunnar Henderson has been leading the way for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the league with 27 home runs and is batting .292 for the season. He has also driven in 60 runs, which is 8th in the league. Henderson is currently on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 10/32 in his last eight games. Ryan O’Hearn and Adley Rutschman have both homered in their last six games, but Rutschman is just 2/20 in that stretch.

Athletics Records & Stats

Oakland is 5th in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 15 games. Overall, the Athletics are 34-57, and they are 9-17 against other teams in the AL West. The Athletics are currently even in their series with the Orioles, and their overall series record is 9-18-1 this year.

At home, the Athletics are 22-24 this season, but they have really struggled on the road, going 12-33. As the underdog, Oakland is 27-55 this year, and they are 7-2 when favored. Looking at their overall performance recently, the Athletics are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

Despite a run differential of -0.9 runs per game, the A’s have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 46-45. They have been particularly profitable at home, where they are 25-21 ATS. Oakland has covered the run line in five straight games and is 4-1 ATS as the underdog in that span. Overall, the A’s are 43-39 ATS when getting points this season.

When the Oakland Athletics are at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged a combined 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-50. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 12-12-1. So far this season, 41.8% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 30.8% have had lines set below 8 runs.

Oakland is starting right-hander Mitch Spence today vs. the Orioles. He has made 20 appearances this year, including nine starts. Spence’s record for the season is 5-4, and he comes in with an ERA of 4.15. In his 73 2/3 innings of work, Spence has a WHIP of 1.25 and has issued just 2.08 walks per nine innings. Spence has turned in two quality starts this year and is coming off a performance in which he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work vs. the Angels. He got the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

As a team, the Athletics are batting just .224 this season, which is 23rd in the league. However, they do have the 5th most home runs in the league and are 10th in isolated power. Overall, they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, and their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all in the bottom half of the league rankings.

Over his last eight games, DH Brent Rooker has gone 12/29 with four home runs and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .277 with a team-high 54 RBIs and 18 homers. Catcher Shea Langeliers is 2nd on the team with 17 homers but is batting just .208 for the season.