Ball State Cardinals vs Little Rock Trojans Betting Pick & Prediction 11/28/23

Looking to win big? The Cardinals and Trojans face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Trojans are hosting the game at Jack Stephens Center in Little Rock, AR. The over/under for this game is set at 154.5 points, and the Trojans are the home favorites against the Cardinals in a non-conference matchup.

BALL STATE CARDINALS VS LITTLE ROCK TROJANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Little Rock Trojans -2.5

This game will be played at Jack Stephens Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, November 28th.

WHY BET THE LITTLE ROCK TROJANS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Trojans.
• Not only will Little Rock pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is a Win at Little Rock Possible for the Cardinals?

Ball State comes into today’s game with a 3-1 overall record. In their last three road games, including those from last year, Ball State is 0-3. Entering today’s game, Ball State holds a 3-1 ATS record. Over their last ten games, encompassing the previous season as well, Ball State has gone 4-4 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through four games, Ball State has an over/under record of 1-3-0, with their games averaging 141 points per game on average. The Cardinals have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 76 points per game and an over/under record of 1-3.

Ball State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 92 points against UAPB. This output exceeded their season average of 80.5 points per game. Basheer Jihad led the scoring for the Cardinals, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Mickey Pearson Jr chipped in with 17 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Ball State defense is giving up an average of 60.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.8 threes per game vs. Little Rock. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 38.4%.

Taking a Look at the Trojans Chances at Home

Little Rock comes into today’s game against Ball State with a 1-3 overall record. In their past three home games, which includes last year, Little Rock has gone 1-2. As of today’s game, Little Rock has a current against-the-spread (ATS) record of 1-3 for the season. When factoring in the previous season, Little Rock is 6-4 ATS in their last ten games.

Little Rock’s games have, on average, featured 162.5 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-1-0. Their average over/under line is currently 149 points so far. The Trojans have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 80 points per game.

In their recent game, the Trojans’ offense concluded with 77 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 81 points per contest. Coming into the game, the Trojans offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 25%. On average, they get up 21.3 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 20.5 made free-throws.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Little Rock is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 85.5 points per game (232nd). Little Rock’s three-point defense is currently 71st in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 47.3% of their shots vs. Little Rock.