Austin Peay Governors vs Morehead State Eagles NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/20/24

The Governors and Eagles are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Eagles will host the game at Ellis T. Johnson Arena in Morehead, KY. In this non-conference matchup, Austin Peay is favored by -4 against Morehead State. The over/under for the game is 138.5 points.

AUSTIN PEAY GOVERNORS VS MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Morehead State Eagles +4

This game will be played at Ellis T. Johnson Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, November 20th.

WHY BET THE MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Eagles.
  • Not only will Morehead State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Will Austin Peay Live Up to Expectations on the Road?

In their most recent outing, the Governors faced a tough challenge on Sunday, November 17th, as they went up against the Volunteers on the road. Entering the game as +28.5 point underdogs, Austin Peay not only lost 103-68 but also failed to cover the spread.

The Volunteers jumped out to a 52-29 lead by halftime, and while the Governors managed to score 39 points in the 2nd half, they couldn’t slow down Tennessee, who put up 51 points after the break. The game’s total points reached 171, surpassing the over/under line of 140.5.

Austin Peay struggled from the field in their last game, shooting just 35.5% overall and 30.3% from three-point range, finishing with an effective field goal percentage of 43.5%. They did manage to hit 82.4% of their free throws, going 14-for-17 from the line.

Igor Miličić Jr. was a standout, hitting 11 of 14 shots for 23 points and grabbing 9 rebounds. Isaac Haney added 22 points, connecting on 5 of 11 three-point attempts, while Zakai Zeigler contributed 19 points and 8 assists, shooting 87.5% from the field and 75% from beyond the arc.

Austin Peay’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 103 points on 63% shooting from the field. The Governors allowed 72% shooting on two-pointers, with the opposing team hitting 32 of 44 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Austin Peay’s opponents shot 35%, making 5 of 14 three-point attempts. The Governors also sent the other team to the free-throw line 33 times, where they converted 24 free throws for 72%.

Will Morehead State Make it Happen at Home?

Morehead State’s recent game against Chattanooga on Thursday saw the Eagles lose 76-62 on the road. Entering the game as +11.5 point underdogs, they not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.

After a 37-37 tie at halftime, Morehead State struggled in the 2nd half, scoring just 25 points while allowing 39. The total points for the game ended at 138, falling short of the 143.5 over/under line.

Morehead State put up 62 points in their last game, shooting 41.2% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 47.1%. They connected on 29.4% of their three-point attempts, hitting 5 of 17 from deep, while shooting 47.1% on two-point shots.

At the free-throw line, the Eagles made 15 of 25 attempts, shooting 60%. They grabbed 6 offensive rebounds and dished out 10 assists. Bash Wieland led the way with 26 points, shooting 64.3% from the field and 50% from three-point range. Honor Huff added 13 points and 8 assists, despite shooting just 20% from beyond the arc. Dieonte Miles also scored 13 points and pulled down 11 rebounds.

Morehead State’s defense gave up 76 points, with the opposing team shooting 43% from the field. They allowed 27 made field goals on 62 attempts.

Inside the arc, the Eagles struggled, giving up 18 two-point baskets on 29 attempts, a 62% shooting rate. However, they limited the damage from three-point range, where the other team shot just 27%, hitting 9 of 33 threes.