Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 1/27/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Tigers and Bulldogs. The game is starting at 3:30 ET on SECN, and it’s hosted by the Bulldogs at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS. Get ready to place your bets! Auburn is favored by -2.5 in this Southeastern conference matchup the against Mississippi State. The over/under for the game is set at 147 points.

AUBURN TIGERS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2.5

This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, January 27th.

WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
• Not only will Mississippi State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Tigers Come Through as Road Favorites?

After losing their last game to Alabama, the Auburn Tigers will look to bounce back as they travel to take on Mississippi State. Auburn is favored by 2.5 points, and they have been favored in 18 of their 19 games this season. So far, the Tigers have gone 16-2 when favored.

On the road this season, Auburn has gone 6-3, and they have an average scoring margin of +14.0 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Tigers have gone 6-4.

As the favorite this season, Auburn has an ATS record of 12-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are 8-2 vs. the spread. On the road, Auburn is 6-3 ATS this year and 6-4 at home. Over their last three road games, the Tigers are 2-1 vs. the spread and they are 4-1 ATS over their last five away from home.

So far this season, the over/under record for Auburn games is 7-12. Today’s over/under line of 147 is lower than the average over/under line in Auburn games this season (150.6). Over their last three games, Auburn games have averaged 146 points compared to their season average of 149.3 points per game.

Compared to their season average of 83.3 points per game, Auburn struggled in their previous game. Against Alabama, the Tigers scored 75 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.8%. Johni Broome is leading the team in scoring at 15.8 points per contest. Jaylin Williams has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.2 going into the game.

The Tigers’ defense is presently ranked 44th nationally, allowing an average of 66.0 points per contest. The Auburn defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 79 points and allowed Alabama to connect on 11 threes.

Is a Home Win Possible for Mississippi State?

Mississippi State comes into this game as a 2.5-point underdog. So far this season, they have been the underdog in three games, going 1-2 in those contests. At home, the Bulldogs have been great, going 9-2 compared to 4-4 on the road.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Bulldogs have gone 8-2. In their most recent game, they lost to Florida by a score of 79-70. So far this season, Mississippi State has gone 13-6.

As the underdog this season, Mississippi State has a record of 1-2 against the spread. Their overall ATS mark is currently 9-9-1. At home, the Bulldogs are 5-5-1 vs. the spread this year and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 6-4.

Mississippi State’s over/under record this season sits at 8-10-1, and so far, the average point total in their games is 141.1. Today’s over/under line of 147 is higher than the average OU line in their games (139), and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points.

In their recent matchup, the Mississippi State offense ended with 70 points against Florida. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 38.7% and made 8 threes. Josh Hubbard led the team in scoring, putting up 26 points. Additionally, Tolu Smith contributed 10 points for the Bulldogs.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 51st in the country, permitting 66.4 points per game. In their previous game vs. Florida, the Gators finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 79 points vs. Mississippi State.