Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/30/25

Tip-off for this Eastern Conference matchup between the Hawks and Bucks is scheduled for 7:00 ET. The Hawks are currently 8th in the East with a record of 35-38, while the Bucks are 6th at 40-33. Milwaukee is favored by 4 points, and the over/under line is set at 235.
TV coverage for this game will be provided by FDSW. The Bucks (-178) have dropped three straight, while the Hawks (+150) have lost two in a row. The game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.
ATLANTA HAWKS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Hawks +4
This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 7:00 ET on Sunday, March 30th.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA HAWKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 107-104 in favor of the Hawks.
- Our projections have Trae Young finishing with 23 points, 3 rebounds and 11 assists.
- From the field, we have the Hawks finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.9% and knocking down 13 threes.
Will Atlanta Be The Talk of Fiserv Forum?
The Hawks fell to 35-38 on the season after a 122-112 road loss to the Heat on Thursday. Atlanta, who entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 234 points exceeded the over/under line of 224.5 by 9.5 points.
Atlanta started strong, going on a 15-0 run to take a 17-2 lead, but Miami responded by outscoring the Hawks 38-23 in the 2nd quarter and 33-25 in the 3rd. Atlanta tried to rally in the 4th, winning the quarter 32-29, but couldn’t overcome the 93-80 deficit they faced going into the final period.
In their 122-112 loss to the Heat, the Hawks shot 51.8% from the field and connected on 18 threes at a 43.9% clip. Trae Young led the way with 29 points and 12 assists, hitting 6 threes at 50% efficiency.
Young scored 12 points in the 4th quarter, while Caris LeVert added 11 of his 17 in the 3rd. Onyeka Okongwu contributed 15 points, and Terance Mann and Vít Krejčí each chipped in 14.
The Hawks started strong defensively, allowing just 22 points in the 1st quarter but struggled in the 2nd, giving up 38 points. They also allowed 33 points in the 3rd and 29 in the 4th, leading to a 122-112 loss to the Heat.
Atlanta allowed Miami to shoot 53% from the field, including 54% from three-point range, where the Heat made 18 threes. The Hawks sent the Heat to the line 20 times, where they hit 16 free throws. Defensively, Atlanta recorded 10 steals and 2 blocks.
Can the Bucks Pull Off a Home Win?
The Bucks fell to 40-33 on the season after a 116-107 home loss to the Knicks on Friday. Milwaukee, favored by 1.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 223 went over the line of 218.5.
Milwaukee trailed early, losing the first quarter 25-19 and the second 35-30. They tightened up defensively in the third, outscoring the Knicks 24-21, but couldn’t close the gap in the fourth, where they were edged out 35-34.
Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 30 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 64.7% from the field in their 116-107 loss to the Knicks. He scored 11 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. Kyle Kuzma and Ryan Rollins each added 20 points, with Rollins hitting 3 threes at 75% efficiency.
The Bucks shot 54.7% from the field as a team, connecting on 39.4% of their threes, with 13 makes from beyond the arc. Gary Trent contributed 9 of his 14 points in the final quarter.
The Bucks had a strong defensive showing in the 1st and 3rd quarters but struggled in the 2nd and 4th, giving up 35 points in each of those periods in their 116-107 loss to the Knicks. Milwaukee allowed New York to shoot 48% from the field overall.
On the bright side, the Bucks limited the Knicks to 12 made threes on 36% shooting from deep. They also sent New York to the free-throw line just 16 times, where the Knicks converted 14. Milwaukee finished with 29 defensive rebounds but gave up 14 offensive boards.