Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 2/26/25
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-134) will host the Atlanta Hawks (+113) in a Southeast Division matchup. Miami (-2.5) is currently 9th in the Eastern Conference, while Atlanta is 8th.
The over/under line for this game is 229 points, and the game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami. The Heat have lost two straight games and are favored by 2.5 points.
ATLANTA HAWKS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -2.5
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, February 26th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 130-106 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.9% and knocking down 16 threes.
Will the Hawks Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Atlanta improved to 27-31 on the season with a 98-86 win over Miami on Monday. The Hawks, who were favored by 2 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total score of 184 points fell well below the O/U line of 231.5.
After a 10-0 run by the Heat, the Hawks responded by going on a 20-10 run of their own to close out the game.
In their win over the Heat, the Hawks managed just 9 threes, shooting 25.7% from deep, while finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 45.5%. Onyeka Okongwu led the way with 17 points, hitting 70% from the field and connecting on 2 threes at a 66.7% rate.
Caris LeVert and Terance Mann added 15 points each, with LeVert scoring 11 in the 4th quarter. Mann also contributed 5 points in the 3rd, while Georges Niang scored all 11 of his points in the 2nd quarter.
The Hawks put on a defensive clinic against the Heat, allowing just 86 points in their win on Monday. They held Miami to 22 points in the 1st quarter and 23 in the 3rd, with their best defensive effort coming in the 2nd quarter, where they gave up only 20 points.
Atlanta’s defense was particularly effective against the three-point shot, as they limited the Heat to just 7 made threes on 17% shooting. The Hawks also came up with 13 steals in the game.
Will the Heat Win at Home?
Miami’s season record dropped to 26-30 after a 98-86 road loss to the Hawks on Monday. The Heat entered the game as +2 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 12 points. The total score of 184 points was well below the O/U line of 231.5.
Miami went on a 10-0 run to extend their lead from 66-56 to 76-56, but the Hawks responded by outscoring them 25-21 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.
In their 98-86 loss to the Hawks, the Heat’s offense struggled, shooting just 32.1% from the field and 17.5% from three-point range, making only 7 threes. Andrew Wiggins led Miami with 23 points, hitting 4 threes at a 44.4% clip.
Bam Adebayo and Kyle Anderson each added 14 points, with Anderson contributing 5 points in the 4th quarter. Wiggins scored 7 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, but only 3 in the final period.
Despite a solid defensive showing, the Heat couldn’t capitalize, allowing 98 points in their loss to the Hawks. Miami gave up 23 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, and 27 in the 2nd, while Atlanta added 25 in the 4th. The Heat held the Hawks to 45% shooting from the field.
Miami excelled at defending the three, with the Hawks hitting just 9 threes at a 25% clip. The Heat sent Atlanta to the line 12 times, where they made 9 free throws. Defensively, the Heat recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks.