Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/25/25

At 8:00 ET, the Houston Rockets (-322) will host the Atlanta Hawks (+260) in a non-conference matchup. The Rockets are favored by 8 points, and the over/under is set at 234.5.
Atlanta is currently on a 3-game win streak and sits 7th in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, Houston is 2nd in the West and has a record of 46-26.
ATLANTA HAWKS VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Rockets -8
This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, March 25th.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 134-106 in favor of the Rockets.
- Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists.
- From the field, we have the Rockets finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.9% and knocking down 15 threes.
Will the Hawks Come Through as Road Underdogs?
Atlanta improved to 35-36 this season with a 132-119 win over the 76ers on Sunday. The Hawks, who were favored by 10.5 points, covered the spread, and the game’s total of 251 points exceeded the 240.5-point line.
Atlanta jumped out to a 35-24 lead after the 1st quarter and extended their advantage with a 13-0 run, pushing the score from 71-60 to 84-60. They outscored the 76ers 41-30 in the 3rd quarter, entering the 4th with a 105-82 lead. Philadelphia closed the gap in the final period, outscoring the Hawks 37-27.
In their win over the 76ers, the Hawks put up 132 points, shooting 55.2% from the field and hitting 17 threes at a 45.9% clip. Trae Young led the way with 28 points and 12 assists, knocking down 4 threes at 66.7% efficiency.
Zaccharie Risacher added 22 points, with 16 coming in the 3rd quarter, while Georges Niang contributed 20 points, hitting 5 threes at 62.5%. Young also scored 12 points in the 4th quarter.
Defensively, the Hawks were solid through the first three quarters, giving up 24 points in the 1st and 28 in the 2nd, but they allowed 37 points in the 4th. Overall, they held the 76ers to 119 points on 44% shooting.
Atlanta did a good job defending the three, with Philadelphia making just 11 threes on 32% shooting. The Hawks recorded 11 steals and 4 blocks in the game.
Pressure Builds for Houston as Home Favorites
The Rockets fell to 46-26 on the season after a 116-111 home loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. Houston, favored by 7.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 227, just over the 224.5-point line.
Denver went on a 13-0 run early, stretching the score from 13-6 to 26-6. After a 39-22 third quarter, the Nuggets led 96-79 going into the 4th. Houston rallied in the final period, outscoring Denver 32-20, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.
Jalen Green led the Rockets with 30 points and 5 assists in their 116-111 loss to the Nuggets, though he shot just 36.4% from the field and 25% from three. Dillon Brooks added 21 points, hitting 5 threes at a 62.5% clip, while Alperen Şengün contributed a double-double with 17 points and 14 rebounds.
Houston made 11 threes, shooting 32.4% from beyond the arc and 43.8% overall. Green scored 10 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, while Brooks added 9 points in the final period. Şengün also chipped in 8 points in the 4th quarter.
Defensively, the Rockets struggled in the 3rd quarter, giving up 39 points, which proved costly in their 116-111 loss to the Nuggets. They did manage to tighten things up in the 4th, allowing just 20 points, but it wasn’t enough to turn the game around. Overall, Houston allowed Denver to shoot 50% from the field.
The Rockets did a decent job defending the three, limiting the Nuggets to 10 made threes, though Denver still hit 47% from deep. Houston sent the Nuggets to the line 26 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Rockets finished with 29 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 7 blocks.