Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/25/24

Chris Sale and the Braves will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak when they face off against the Mets, who have won three straight. The money line odds have the Braves at -131 compared to the Mets at +110, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

Thursday’s NL East matchup has a start time of 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The forecast calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. BSSE will be televising this one.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -131

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Thursday, July 25th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS METS:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Braves Records & Stats

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 9-4 loss. Atlanta was actually the slight favorite at -129 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored four times in the first.

Atlanta’s offense scored their only four runs in the 2nd inning. The Braves then went on to load the bases in the 3rd but couldn couldn’t push across another run. Orlando Arcia was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored and three RBIs.

Atlanta will be on the road today to take on the Mets, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, as they lost the final four games before the All-Star break. Currently, they are nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. This season, they are 14-12 in the division and 54-46 overall through 100 games.

At home, the Braves are 30-21 this year and are just one game under .500 at 24-25 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 87 of their games, going 50-37 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are just 4-9 this year. Atlanta’s overall series record is 17-13-3, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Reds.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 45-55, with a 24-25 record on the road. They are 39-48 against the run line as the favorite and 6-7 as the underdog.

When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line for their games is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 7.9 runs. Overall, the over/under record for Braves games this season is 35-60, with an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 6-11. In 77% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, while in just 6% of their games, the line has been set lower.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 13-3 with a 2.70 ERA. Sale has been pitching well as of late, picking up the win in each of his last three outings. In his most recent start, he went five innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Sale has a WHIP of .95 and is averaging 11.45 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed just seven homers.

Marcell Ozuna has been on fire for the Braves over his last 10 games, going 16/38 with five homers and seven RBIs. For the season, Ozuna is batting .306 with 28 homers and 80 RBIs, all of which are top marks for the Braves. As a team, the Braves are 9th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league.

Currently, the Braves have four players on a hitting streak, with Michael Harris II leading the way at five games. Travis d’Arnaud, Orlando Arcia, and Ronald Acuna Jr. are all on four-game hitting streaks. As a team, the Braves are looking to improve their on-base percentage, as they are currently 24th in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of just .303.

Mets Records & Stats

New York is coming off a big 12-3 win over the Yankees to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +145 on the money line. It was a six-run 8th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score one run in the bottom of the 1st.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by Francisco Lindor, who went 3/6 with two homers and five RBIs.

The Mets kick off their series vs. the Braves having won three straight games, and they are 53-48 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 10.5 games for the division lead. New York’s overall division record is 18-14 this season.

At home, the Mets are an even 26-26 this season and 27-22 on the road. New York has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 21-22 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Mets are 32-26 this season, and their overall series record is 16-12-6.

When it comes to betting on the run line, the Mets have been a better choice on the road this season. They are 27-22 against the run line on the road, compared to 21-31 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 26-17 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.4, while it is -3.3 in losing games.

Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets’ game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 7.5 runs. The Mets have played 69 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which accounts for 68.3% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-44 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-11.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.58. So far, he has made 19 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Severino didn’t give up a run, picking up the win after going six innings vs. the Marlins. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings. Opponents are batting .217 off the right-hander this season. Severino’s ERA at home is 2.94 compared to 4.49 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 7th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in team home runs. New York’s team on-base percentage and slugging percentage are also among the league’s best.

Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets, as he has gone 8/23 in his last five games with four homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 21 homers. Overall, he is batting .259. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are also among the league leaders in home runs, with 20 and 16, respectively.