Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/25
Planning on watching today’s Red Wolves and Trojans game? Catch the action at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL, as the Trojans hosts this showdown at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 143.5 points, and Troy is favored to win by -1.5 at home vs. Arkansas State.
ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS TROY TROJANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Troy Trojans -1.5
This game will be played at Trojan Arena at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE TROY TROJANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-70 in favor of the Trojans.
- Not only will Troy pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.
Will Arkansas State Win on the Road?
Arkansas State Red Wolves Recent Game/Games
Arkansas State fell to 10-5 on the season after a 76-62 road loss to South Alabama on Thursday. The Red Wolves entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 138, just under the O/U line of 140.5.
Arkansas State trailed 41-31 at halftime and couldn’t mount a comeback, scoring 31 points in the 2nd half while allowing 35.
Arkansas State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 31.3% from the field and 24.5% from three-point range, connecting on 12 of 49 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 40.3%, and they managed to score 62 points, with 16 offensive rebounds and 12 assists.
Elijah Ormiston led the way with 22 points, shooting 75% overall and 80% from deep. Taryn Todd added 18 points, hitting 5 of 15 threes, while Joseph Pinion contributed 17 points despite shooting just 2 of 14 from beyond the arc.
Arkansas State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 76 points on 56% shooting from the field. They allowed their opponent to hit 63% of their two-point attempts, with a 14/22 performance.
From beyond the arc, Arkansas State’s defense couldn’t contain their opponent, who shot 50% on threes, making 12 of 24. They also sent them to the line 18 times, where they converted 12 free throws.
Does Troy Have What it Takes at Home?
Troy Trojans Recent Game/Games
The Trojans fell to 8-5 on the season after a narrow 74-73 loss to Texas State on Thursday. Troy, who were -7 favorites at home, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread.
After leading 41-32 at halftime, the Trojans allowed 42 points in the second half while scoring just 32. The game’s total points of 147 went over the 136.5 O/U line.
Troy’s offense put up 73 points in their last game, shooting 47.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.2%. They connected on 58.6% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 5 of 17 threes for a 29.4% rate. At the free-throw line, the Trojans made 24 of 31 attempts, good for 77.4%.
Tylan Pope led the way with 27 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 56.2% from the field and hitting his only three-point attempt. Mark Drone added 17 points in 20 minutes, while Tayton Conerway contributed 15 points and 4 assists. The Trojans finished with 12 assists and 10 offensive rebounds as a team.
Despite Troy’s defensive efforts, they gave up 74 points, allowing the opposing team to shoot 47% from the field. The Trojans struggled to contain their opponents inside, who hit 58% of their two-point attempts, going 17/29.
From beyond the arc, Troy held the other team to 29% shooting, with just 5 made threes on 17 attempts. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 31 times, where they converted 24 free throws at a 77% rate. Troy also allowed 10 offensive rebounds.