Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24

Arkansas State is favored by -6.5 points as they head into this week eight matchup against Southern Miss. The over/under line is currently set at 54.5 points. The game is scheduled for 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 19th, at M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg and will be broadcast on ESPN+. Arkansas State has a 3-3 record for the season, while Southern Miss is just 1-5.
ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +6.5
This game will be played at M.M. Roberts Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES:
- We have the Southern Miss Golden Eagles winning this one by a score of 31 to 24
- Not only do we have the Southern Miss Golden Eagles winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 54.5 points
Will The Arkansas State Red Wolves Win As Road Favorites?
Arkansas State enters Week 8 against Southern Miss with a 3-3 record. They are 2-0 at home but have struggled on the road, going 0-3. Ranked 115th in our power rankings, they have a 51.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they’ve been favored in just one game this season.
The Red Wolves have a -13 average scoring margin and are 2-3 against the spread. They are 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog.
Arkansas State’s over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 51 points. Their average over/under line is 58.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 54.5 points.
Arkansas State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 19 points per game, which ranks them 113th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Jaylen Raynor, their quarterback, has thrown for 1,332 yards but has only four touchdowns compared to six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 73.
The Red Wolves rank 16th in passing attempts, averaging 37.3 per game, and 24th in completions. They are 56th in passing yards, with 245 per game. On the ground, they average 113.8 rushing yards per game. Corey Rucker leads the receiving corps with 473 yards and two touchdowns.
Arkansas State’s defense struggled in their recent game against Texas State, allowing 41 points in a 41-9 loss. They gave up 593 total yards, including 273 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 320 passing yards, with four passing touchdowns allowed.
So far this season, Arkansas State’s defense is giving up 32 points per game. Opponents are averaging 232.5 passing yards per game and 228.3 rushing yards. Quarterbacks have a 94.7 passer rating and a 64.6% completion rate against the Red Wolves.
Are The Southern Miss Golden Eagles Going Win In At Upset At M.M. Roberts Stadium
Southern Miss enters Week 8 with a 1-5 record, facing Arkansas State at home. They rank 126th in our CFB power rankings and have just a 0.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Golden Eagles are 0-2 at home this season.
They’ve been underdogs in all six games, posting a 1-4 record against the spread and an average scoring margin of -15.8 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is 54.5 points. Southern Miss games have averaged 49.2 points, with their average over/under line at 53.2 points this season.
Southern Miss has struggled offensively, averaging just 16.7 points per game and ranking 124th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Their passing game is producing 199.7 yards per game, and they have converted only 20% of their third-down attempts. Their passer rating is 68, which ranks 126th nationally. On the ground, they are averaging 91.7 rushing yards per game.
Quarterback Tate Rodemaker has thrown for 580 yards, with four touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. Leading rusher Rodrigues Clark has 274 yards this season, averaging 4 yards per carry. Larry Simmons leads the team in receiving with 281 yards on 16 catches.
Southern Miss’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 32.5 points per game. In their recent game against UL Monroe, they gave up 38 points, including 259 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 223.8 rushing yards per game against Southern Miss, while the secondary has allowed 196.3 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 67.8% of their passes against them.