Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 2/17/24

The Red Wolves and Jaguars are set to face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Jaguars will host the game at Mitchell Center in Mobile, AL. In this Sun Belt matchup, Arkansas State is favored by -2 vs. South Alabama. The over/under for the game is 154.5 points.

ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars +2

This game will be played at Mitchell Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Jaguars.
• Not only will South Alabama pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Red Wolves Offense Score Enough in Mobile?

Arkansas State is favored by 2 points on the road against South Alabama. So far, the Red Wolves have a record of 10-5 when favored, compared to 3-9 when they are the underdog. On the road this season, Arkansas State has gone 5-11, and they have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home.

Arkansas State comes into this game with an overall record of 12-14. They have won two games in a row, and their record in Sun Belt Conference play is 8-6. In their last game, the Red Wolves beat Troy by a score of 82-71. This season, Arkansas State has an average scoring differential of -3.8 points per game on the road.

Arkansas State has an ATS record of 16-10-1 this season, including a mark of 9-6 when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Wolves have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Arkansas State’s games is 13-13-1. So far, their games have averaged 158 points, which is 4.5 points higher than today’s line of 154.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their games have averaged 163 points.

In their latest game, Arkansas State’s offense looked good, scoring 82 points against Troy. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 49.3% and made 8/17 free throws. The top scorer for the Red Wolves was Taryn Todd with 19 points, while Izaiyah Nelson also added 18 to the scoreboard.

Coming into today’s game, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 78.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Arkansas State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.8% this season.

Can the Jaguars Grab a Win at Home?

South Alabama enters this game with a 13-13 record, including a 5-8 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. They have won three straight games and are 7-4 at home this season. On the year, they have been the underdog 12 times and have gone 4-8 in those games.

The Jaguars’ average scoring margin at home this season is +3.8 points per game, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. In their most recent game, they defeated Texas State by a score of 72-55.

South Alabama has an ATS record of 13-10 this season, including a mark of 7-4 at home. Over their last three home games, the Jaguars have gone 3-0 vs. the spread.

South Alabama’s over/under record for the season is 11-12, and the average scoring total in their games is 148.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (144.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

The Jaguars’ offense finished with 72 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 73.4 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Isiah Gaiter, who is averaging 14.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyrell Jones also maintains a PPG average of 12.7 heading into game.

The Jaguars’ defense is presently ranked 272nd nationally, allowing an average of 76.3 points per contest. So far, the South Alabama defense is giving up an average of 9.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.4 times per game (445th).