Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
Coming into this game, the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns are 7-1 on the season and are the heavy favorite at -16.5 points over the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Kick-off is set for 5:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th, at Cajun Field in Lafayette. ESPN+ will be covering this week 11 college football matchup. The over/under line is currently at 60.5 points.
ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +16.5
This game will be played at Cajun Field at 5:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:
- We have the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns winning this one by a score of 32 to 30
- Even though we like the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns to win, our ATS pick is to take the Arkansas State Red Wolves at +16.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 60.5 points
Will The Arkansas State Red Wolves Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Arkansas State enters Week 11 against Louisiana with a 5-3 record, ranked 110th in our power rankings. They have an 82.6% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. The Red Wolves are 3-0 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.
Against the spread, Arkansas State is 3-4, with a -7.4 average scoring margin. They are 1-2 ATS as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 60.5 points. Arkansas State’s games have averaged 55.4 points, with an average line of 57.1 points and a 3-4 over/under record.
Arkansas State’s offense ranks 93rd in our CFB offensive power rankings heading into week 11, averaging 24 points per game. Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 1,867 yards, leading the passing attack, with the Red Wolves ranking 30th in passing attempts per game. Raynor has seven touchdowns and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 80.
Corey Rucker leads the receiving corps with 703 yards and three touchdowns on 47 catches. Arkansas State is 60th in passing yards per game, averaging 250.6 yards. On the ground, they average 143.9 rushing yards per game.
Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.4 points per game. In their recent game against Troy, they gave up 31 points and 513 total yards, including 344 rushing yards on 54 attempts.
Opponents have averaged 217.1 rushing yards per game against Arkansas State, while quarterbacks have completed 65% of their passes, totaling 235.8 passing yards per game.
Are The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Louisiana enters Week 11 with a 7-1 record, ranked 66th in our power rankings. They are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible and have a 43.5% chance of winning the Sun Belt. The Ragin Cajuns also hold the 23rd best odds to make the CFB playoff at 7.9%.
Louisiana is 1-1 at home and 4-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in three games, going 3-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +10.6 points per game, and they are 3-3 against the spread, with a 3-1 road ATS record and a 0-2 mark at home.
The over/under line for this week is 60.5 points. Louisiana’s games have averaged a 58.6 over/under line, with an average total of 54.9 points per game. Their over/under record is 3-3 for the season.
Louisiana’s offense is averaging 32.8 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 30th in the nation. However, they are ranked 17th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Ben Wooldridge has thrown for 2,037 yards and has a passer rating of 112. He has completed 68.8% of his passes, with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions.
Louisiana ranks 11th in third-down conversions, converting 49% of their attempts. Nationally, they are 8th in completion percentage, completing 69.3% of their passes. They are 50th in passing yards per game, averaging 262.5. On the ground, they average 180.9 rushing yards per game. Bill Davis leads the team with 520 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Lance LeGendre has 457 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Louisiana’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 27th nationally by allowing just 22.1 points per game. In their recent game against Texas State, they gave up 17 points but managed to secure a win by forcing an interception and not allowing any passing touchdowns, despite surrendering 378 total yards.
Opponents have averaged 160.4 rushing yards per game against Louisiana, including 177 yards on 40 carries by Texas State. Through the air, Louisiana has allowed 170.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the nation, though opposing quarterbacks have completed 64.3% of their passes.