Arkansas State Red Wolves vs James Madison Dukes NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/4/25

Betting on today’s Red Wolves and Dukes game? Catch the action at Atlantic Union Bank Center in Harrisonburg, VA, as the Dukes hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. In this Sun Belt matchup, Arkansas State is favored bt -1.5 vs. James Madison. The over/under for the game is 148.5 points.
ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS JAMES MADISON DUKES BETTING PICK
The Pick: James Madison Dukes +1.5
This game will be played at Atlantic Union Bank Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 4th.
WHY BET THE JAMES MADISON DUKES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-67 in favor of the Dukes.
- Not only will James Madison pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Do the Red Wolves Stand a Chance in Harrisonburg?
Arkansas State improved to 10-3 on the season with a 78-59 win over Old Dominion on Thursday. The Red Wolves were -11 favorites going into the game and covered the spread with the win.
Arkansas State led 32-29 at halftime before outscoring Old Dominion 46-30 in the 2nd half. The game’s total points of 137 fell under the O/U line of 152.5.
Arkansas State put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 43.5% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 50%, with a strong 44.4% from three-point range, hitting 8 of 18 attempts. At the free-throw line, they connected on 16 of 19 shots, good for 84.2%.
Terrance Ford Jr. was nearly perfect, shooting 90% overall and making all 3 of his three-point attempts, finishing with 21 points and 5 assists. Sean Durugordon also scored 21 points, despite shooting just 38.5% from the field. Taryn Todd added 17 points, though he struggled with a 29.4% shooting performance.
Arkansas State’s defense was dominant, holding their opponent to just 59 points on 26% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves were particularly effective at defending the three-point line, where they limited their opponent to just 4 made threes on 24 attempts, a 16% success rate.
Inside the arc, Arkansas State’s defense allowed 13 two-point baskets on 40 attempts, a 32% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 32 times, where they made 21 free throws, shooting 65%.
Will James Madison Make it Happen at Home?
James Madison Dukes Recent Game/Games
James Madison evened their record at 6-6 with an 83-72 win over Southern Miss on Thursday. The Dukes were -11.5 favorites at home, but they didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 155 exceeded the O/U line of 140.5.
JMU led 33-31 at halftime and pulled away by scoring 50 points in the 2nd half while allowing 41.
James Madison put up 83 points in their recent game, shooting 47.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 56.4%. They connected on 37% of their three-point attempts, going 10-for-27, and hit 75% from the free-throw line, making 21-of-28. The Dukes had 15 assists and grabbed 5 offensive rebounds.
Mark Freeman led the way with 30 points, shooting 56.2% overall and 50% from three-point range, hitting 4-of-8 from deep. Andre Curbelo added 24 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 50% from the field. AJ Smith contributed 13 points, while Eddie Ricks III and Christian Watson each chipped in 11 points.
James Madison’s defense gave up 72 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 47% from the field. The Dukes allowed 16 two-point baskets on 28 attempts, a 57% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, their opponents hit 10 of 27 threes, shooting 37%. James Madison also sent them to the line 28 times, where they made 21 free throws, a 75% success rate. The Dukes limited offensive rebounds, giving up just 5.