Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones Betting Pick & Prediction 9/21/24

This week four non-conference matchup between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and Iowa State Cyclones is set for 2:00 ET on Saturday, September 21st, at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames. The game can be seen on ESPN+, with the Cyclones entering the game with a 2-0 record and the Red Wolves at 2-1. The over/under line is 51.5 points, and Iowa State is heavily favored at -21.5 points.

ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS IOWA STATE CYCLONES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +21.5

This game will be played at Jack Trice Stadium at 2:00 ET on Saturday, September 21st.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:

• We have the Iowa State Cyclones winning this one by a score of 26 to 19
• Even though we like the Iowa State Cyclones to win, our ATS pick is to take the Arkansas State Red Wolves at +21.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 51.5 points

Will The Arkansas State Red Wolves Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Arkansas State is looking to bounce back after a 28-18 loss to Michigan on the road. Despite being +21.5 point underdogs, the Red Wolves managed to cover the spread, and the combined score of 46 points was just under the 47.5-point over/under line. This game moved Arkansas State to a 2-1 record for the season.

The Red Wolves fell behind early, with Michigan taking a 7-0 lead in the first quarter. Arkansas State added a field goal in the second quarter, but Michigan scored twice more to make it 21-3 at halftime. The Red Wolves outscored Michigan 15-7 in the fourth quarter, but it wasn’t enough to come out on top.

Arkansas State’s offense, led by quarterback Jaylen Raynor, put up 280 yards in their 28-18 loss to Michigan. Raynor completed 57.6% of his passes for 140 yards, with Reginald Harden Jr. leading the receiving corps with 52 yards on three receptions. Raynor also threw two touchdowns, but he was picked off once, finishing with a passer rating of 55.11.

The Red Wolves’ offense managed 17 first downs but struggled to establish a running game, finishing with just 58 yards on 25 carries. Devin Spencer led the team in rushing with 28 yards on seven attempts.

Arkansas State’s defense had a tough time stopping Michigan’s ground game, giving up 301 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Overall, they allowed 435 total yards and 28 points. Despite these numbers, the Red Wolves’ defense managed to pick off three passes, and they held Michigan to just 134 passing yards on 13 completions.

Are The Iowa State Cyclones Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Iowa State is now 2-0 after pulling off an upset on the road against Iowa. The Cyclones, who were +2.5 point underdogs, not only won the game but also covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 36 points, but the teams combined for 39 points, hitting the over.

After trailing 13-0 at halftime, Iowa State rallied back in the second half, outscoring Iowa 20-6. The Cyclones took a 7-0 lead in the first quarter, fell behind 13-0 at the half, and then scored 14 points in the third quarter to take the lead, adding six more points in the fourth quarter to secure the win.

In their 20-19 win over Iowa, Iowa State’s offense totaled 361 yards, with 272 yards coming through the air. Rocco Becht completed 65.7% of his passes for 272 yards, throwing two touchdowns and one interception, ending the game with a passer rating of 96.37. Jaylin Noel was his top target, catching five passes for 133 yards and a touchdown.

The Cyclones struggled to establish the run, gaining just 89 yards on 28 carries. Abu Sama III led the ground game with 58 yards on 17 attempts.

After allowing 284 rushing yards and three touchdowns to Iowa, Iowa State’s defense will be looking to shore up their run defense. In total, the Cyclones gave up 462 yards and 25 first downs. Their pass defense was more effective, holding Iowa to 178 yards through the air on 20 completions.