Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 8/7/24
This article was published on Aug 7, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, as they are looking to extend their two-game winning streak. The Guardians are starting Ben Lively and will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Cleveland comes into the game with an overall record of 67-45, while the Diamondbacks are 61-52. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and Arizona is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -118 compared to the Guardians at -101. This interleague matchup is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. BSGL will be carrying this game on TV.
The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West, while the Guardians are currently leading the AL Central. Ben Lively is starting for the Guardians, while the Diamondbacks are sending Brandon Pfaadt to the mound. Arizona is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -118 compared to the Guardians at -101. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -101
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:10 ET on Wednesday, August 7th.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a back-and-forth game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Guardians series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Diamondbacks had to rally late, as they scored the game’s final run in the 10th inning.
Cleveland wasted a good outing from Logan Allen, as he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work. Emmanuel Clase took the loss for the Guardians out of the bullpen.
Zac Gallen got the start for the Diamondbacks, giving up five earned runs across seven innings. He finished with just four strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen, and Justin Martinez got the save.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 61-52 overall and is 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have gone 19-14 in divisional games this year. They have won two straight games, and their series win yesterday was their sixth straight series win. Arizona’s overall series record is 19-13-4 this year.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 31-25 this year, and they are just over .500 at 30-27 on the road. Arizona has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 33-20. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 28-32 this season.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 32-25. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.9. Overall, they have a run line record of 57-56, with an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game.
Arizona has played to the over in 62 of their 110 games this season, and the average O/U line in their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 7 of 11 games. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and they are on a two-game over streak coming into today’s game against Cleveland.
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.98 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13, and opponents are batting .238 off him this year. In his 22 appearances, Pfaadt has turned in 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
As a team, the Diamondbacks are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is good for 2nd in the league. They have been especially good at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per game. Not only do they have a good team batting average, but they also have the league’s 10th ranked home run total. Arizona’s offense has been led by Ketel Marte and Christian Walker, with Marte batting .300 for the season and Walker at .254.
Over his last five games, Marte has gone 6/23 with four homers and six RBIs. This has pushed his season-long home run total to 28, which is 5th in the league. Marte also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Diamondbacks having dropped three straight games, and they are 67-45 overall, leading the AL Central by four games over the Twins. The Guardians dropped the first game of this series vs. Arizona. So far, they are 19-15 in AL Central matchups this year.
At home, the Guardians are 35-18 this year and 32-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Guardians are 48-23 this year and 19-22 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 22-10-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When betting the run line, the Guardians have been a .500 team with a 56-56 record. They have been a better bet on the road, going 31-28, compared to 25-28 at home. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 32 of 71 games as the favorite.
The Cleveland Guardians have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 55-51, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-16, and 65.2% of their games have had higher lines than that. They have hit the over in their last five games.
Ben Lively is getting the start for the Guardians today, and he comes into the game with a record of 10-6 and an ERA of 3.42. Lively has made 19 starts this season and has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Lively has alternated between wins and losses. Opponents have hit .226 off Lively this season, and his WHIP is 1.15. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.69 strikeouts and 2.56 walks.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late, going 14/37 in his last 10 games with five homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .282 with a league-leading 94 RBIs and is 4th in the league with 29 homers. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat for the Guardians, as he is 7th in the league with 24 homers and has driven in 81 runs.
As a team, the Guardians are 11th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .242 and have the 12th ranked home run total in the league.
