Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 8/23/24
This article was published on Aug 23, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have an interleague matchup between the Diamondbacks and Red Sox. The forecast for Friday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. Arizona is 72-56, and they have won three straight. Boston is 67-59 and they are favored on the money line (-132). The Diamondbacks are +113, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs.
MLBN will be televising Friday’s Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox game, and the first pitch from Fenway is set for 7:10 PM ET. Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, while the Diamondbacks are going with Ryne Nelson. Nelson is starting, and the Diamondbacks are going with Ryne Nelson.
BOSTON RED SOX VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -132
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, August 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 10-8 win. After allowing two runs to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with a run of their own and added another two runs in the 3rd.
Arizona really broke things open with a four-run 7th inning, and the Marlins could only score one run in the top of the 9th to make things close. Geraldo Perdomo went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs, and Jake McCarthy was only 1/5, but his one hit was a home run.
Arizona is on the road today, taking on the Red Sox with an overall record of 72-56. They come into today’s game having won three straight games, and they are 4-0 in their last four games vs. the Marlins. In the NL West, they are four games behind the Dodgers.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 37-26 this year, and they have gone 35-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 31-32 this year, and they have won four straight as the underdog overall. Arizona has an overall series record of 23-14-4 this year.
Arizona has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 37-28 on the run line away from home. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in three straight road games and have been particularly profitable as an underdog, going 39-24 on the run line in those games. Their overall run line record is 66-62, with an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game.
Arizona is on the road against Boston today, with the O/U line set at 9.5 runs. The Diamondbacks have played 114 games this season, and their combined run average is 10.0 runs per game. Their O/U record for the season is 70-51, and their average O/U line is 9 runs. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, their O/U record is 3-7. So far this season, only 5.5% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Ryne Nelson is looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run and picked up the win. In that July 30th start vs. the Nationals, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. Overall, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 8-6 with an ERA of 4.36. Nelson has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 7.33 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has given up 12 homers and is allowing opponents to bat .271.
Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a good power-hitting team, ranking 7th in home runs, and are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging.
Over his last three games, Adrian Del Castillo has gone 5/12 with two homers and nine RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, Ketel Marte is batting .298 and leads the team with 81 RBIs. He also has 30 homers, which is 7th in the league. Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and has driven in 71 runs.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Astros, the Red Sox closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the +117 underdog on the money line. It was a big first inning for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run and added another run in the 2nd inning.
Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on four hits and issued just one walk. David Hamilton had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Ceddanne Rafaela had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with two doubles and a run scored.
Boston will open their series vs. the Diamondbacks seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Overall, the Red Sox are 67-59 and are 3rd in the division. They have gone 16-15 in divisional games this year and have an overall record of 21-14-6 in series this year.
The Red Sox have won two straight games, taking the final two games of their series vs. the Astros. So far this year, the Red Sox are 29-32 at home compared to 38-27 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 34-25 and 33-34 as the underdog.
The Red Sox have been a tough team to bet on this season, as their run line record is just 60-66. However, they have been a better bet on the road, where their run line record is 38-27. They have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game, but that number is slightly better on the road, where it is +0.9 runs per game.
The Boston Red Sox are at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have been involved in games with an average of 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-53. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 9-10. This season, only 11.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Right-hander Brayan Bello is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. Bello has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with a 4.80 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has a WHIP of 1.41 and has issued 3.42 walks per nine innings compared to 8.73 strikeouts. Bello has turned in nine quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up just two hits and three walks. Bello has not allowed more than one homer in any of his last four outings.
One of the best offenses in the MLB this season, the Red Sox are averaging 5 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .261, which is 2nd in the league, and are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Boston has been very good at making contact this season, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Devers leading the Red Sox with 27 homers and O’Neill right behind him at 22. Devers is also 15th in the league with 77 RBIs. Jarren Duran has been red hot of late, going 11/34 in his last eight games, including three homers. He comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
