Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/24

At 4:05 from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have an interleague matchup between the Diamondbacks and Orioles. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Diamondbacks are 18-21, while the Orioles are 25-12. Baltimore is sending John Means to the mound vs. Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Orioles are the favorite on the money line at -170. Looking at the odds for the Diamondbacks, they are sitting at +143. You can catch this one on MASN.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -170

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 4:05 ET on Saturday, May 11th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Baltimore picked up a 4-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and didn’t look back, as the Diamondbacks could only muster one run in the 3rd inning. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -134 on the money line.

Cole Irvin got the win for the Orioles, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Yennier Cano got the save. Brandon Pfaadt had a good outing for the Diamondbacks in the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.

Ketel Marte was the only Diamondbacks hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/5 with a home run. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also homered for Arizona. As a team, the Diamondbacks struck out 12 times.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 7.5 games. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 18-21 as they play on the road vs. the Orioles. Arizona is 9-8 against other NL West teams.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been pretty even at home and on the road, with a 9-10 mark at home and 9-11 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 9-13 this year compared to 9-8 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Diamondbacks are 4-7-1 and have dropped three straight series at home.

Arizona is 19-20 against the run line this season, and the Diamondbacks have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game. They are 10-10 against the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game. Arizona is 7-10 against the run line as the favorite and 12-10 as the underdog.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have seen their games go over the over/under line in 51.3% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 15-22. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over that line in 50% of the games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs.

Ryne Nelson will be making his third start of the season, and it will be on the road against the Baltimore Orioles. Nelson has a win and a no-decision in his first two outings, and he has struck out 7 batters in 11 innings. He has given up just 1 home run in his first two starts.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .248, which is the 7th best mark in the MLB right now.

Both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been swinging the bat well for the Diamondbacks of late, with Marte going 8/32 in his last eight games with three homers and Walker hitting .333 with two homers over the same stretch. Marte is currently on an 11-game hitting streak.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 25-12 overall and lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. Baltimore has taken two straight games overall, and they are 6-1 against other teams in the AL East. Their overall series record this year is 8-3-1.

So far, the Orioles have been really good at home, going 13-7 this year. They have also been good on the road, putting together a record of 12-5. Baltimore has been really good in day games this year, going 13-5.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. That has helped them to a 22-15 run line record on the season. They are 12-8 on the run line at home, where their average run margin is 1.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home and are 15-14 on the run line as the favorite.

When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-16. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the record is 8-7. Overall, 29.7% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.

John Means has been great in his first start of the season, as he picked up a win against the Reds, going 7 innings and striking out 8. He only allowed 3 hits and didn’t give up a run.

Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 12/38 in his last nine games with one home run and five RBIs. This has helped him move his season average up to .316, which is 2nd on the team. Rutschman is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Gunnar Henderson has been the team’s top power threat so far, as he is 2nd in the league with 11 homers and has driven in a team-high 26 runs.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 2nd in the league in isolated power. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per contest. Baltimore’s team batting average is .246, and they have the league’s top slugging percentage.