Arizona Coyotes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick & Prediction 1/25/24

Looking to win big? The Coyotes and Lightning face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning are hosting the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The over/under for this game is set at 6.5 goals, and the Lightning are favored by -1.5 vs. the Coyotes in a non-conference matchup.
ARIZONA COYOTES VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:
- Based on our analysis, we foresee the Lightning winning the game with a predicted score of 4-2.
- Take the Lightning on the moneyline
- The Lightning should also cover at -1.5
Taking a Look at the Coyotes Chances in Tampa
On the road this season, the Coyotes have gone 8-11-3, including a two-game losing streak. In the Western Conference standings, Arizona is in 10th place and 6th in the Central Division. Overall, the Coyotes have a record of 23-20-3. In games against other Western Conference teams, Arizona has gone 14-14.
As the underdog, the Coyotes have a record of 13-19-2 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. Over their last ten games, Arizona has gone 4-6. For the season, the Coyotes have been the underdog in 34 of their 46 games.
Arizona enters the game with a puck line record of 25-21. So far, they have been the underdog in 34 of their games, going 20-14 against the puck line in those contests.
Across all of their games, the Coyotes have an average scoring margin of .0 goals per contest. On the road, their average scoring margin is -.3 goals per game.
The average goal total for Arizona’s games is sitting at 6. The average over/under line for the season is 6.2. The Coyotes come in with an over/under record of 24-19-3.
Arizona has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 1 goals per game while allowing 3. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
When looking at their offense, the Coyotes have an average of 3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 31st in the league. This season, the Coyotes have a 10-3 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 13-15 record.
The leading scorer for Arizona’s offense is Clayton Keller. Coming into the game he has 19 goals, ranking 38th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Keller has 24 assists this season.
The Lightning defense is currently 13th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30 shots per game against Tampa Bay. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 7th with 3 shutouts.
Goalie Connor Ingram comes into the game having made 28 starts this season. So far, his record is 17-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.893%.
Will the Lightning Come Through as Home Favorites?
At home this season, the Lightning have won five straight games, and they are 15-5-3 overall. In the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay is 7th, and in the Atlantic Division, they are 4th. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3.
Overall, Tampa Bay is 25-18-5, and they have 55 points. In games where they have been favored, the Lightning have gone 17-9-1, and for the year, they are 11-12 against other Eastern Conference teams.
When favored, the Lightning have a puck line record of 11-16 this season, and their average scoring margin in those games is +0.7 goals per game. So far, Tampa Bay has 17 wins by multiple goals compared to just eight wins by one goal.
At home, the Lightning have a puck line record of 14-9, and their average scoring margin is +1.0 goals per game. In their last ten home games, Tampa Bay has gone 6-4 against the puck line.
This season, Tampa Bay’s games are averaging 6.7 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.5. The Lightning currently have an over/under record of 21-23-4.
Arizona has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 1 goals per game while allowing 3. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
In terms of their offensive performance, the Lightning are averaging 3.4 goals per game this season, putting them in the 5th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 17th in the league. So far this year, the Lightning are 15-11 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 10-6 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Tampa Bay’s leading goal scorer is Nikita Kucherov. So far this season, he has 31 goals, placing him 3rd in the NHL. Kucherov also comes into the game with 49 assists.
Tampa Bay defense takes on the Coyotes ranked 13th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 7th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy gets the start and has made 24 starts this season. His record at this point is 14-10, and his save percentage is 0.718%.