Alabama State Hornets vs SMU Mustangs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/3/24
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Hornets and Mustangs. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ACC, and it’s hosted by the Mustangs at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 156.5 points, with SMU being favored by -20 over Alabama State.
ALABAMA STATE HORNETS VS SMU MUSTANGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Alabama State Hornets +20
This game will be played at Moody Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, December 3rd.
WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-67 in favor of the Mustangs.
- Even though we have SMU winning straight-up, we like Alabama State at +20.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
No Pressure for Alabama State as Away Dogs
Alabama State Hornets Recent Game/Games
Alabama State dropped to 2-4 on the season after a 77-59 loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday. The Hornets were heavy underdogs, entering the game at +29, but managed to cover the spread.
They trailed 46-33 at halftime and were outscored 31-26 in the second half. The combined points for the game were 136, falling short of the O/U line of 145.
Alabama State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 30.3% from the field and 23.3% from beyond the arc, finishing with 59 points. Their effective field goal percentage was 36.4%, though they did hit 85.7% of their free throws, going 12-for-14 from the line.
Amarr Knox led the Hornets with 24 points, shooting 9-for-20 overall and 2-for-7 from three-point range. Simas Lukosius contributed 16 points, hitting 4-of-10 from deep, while Jizzle James added 13 points and 8 rebounds, connecting on 2-of-5 three-point attempts.
Alabama State’s defense gave up 77 points, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field, hitting 31 of their 69 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 55% shooting, as the other team connected on 21 of 38 two-point shots.
From three-point range, Alabama State’s opponents shot 32%, making 10 of 31 attempts. The Hornets sent them to the free-throw line 12 times, where they converted 5 shots, shooting 41%. Alabama State also gave up 15 offensive rebounds.
Can the Mustangs Hold Strong at Home?
SMU Mustangs Recent Game/Games
SMU improved to 2-4 on the season with a 77-60 road win over Washington State on Wednesday. The Mustangs, who entered the game as -4.5 favorites, covered the spread with the win.
SMU trailed 31-27 at halftime but turned things around in the 2nd half, outscoring the Cougars 50-29. The game’s total points of 137 fell short of the 160-point O/U line.
SMU’s offense put up 77 points in their last game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.5%, and they were strong at the free-throw line, hitting 84.2% of their attempts.
On the offensive glass, the Mustangs grabbed 22 rebounds, with Samet Yiğitoğlu pulling down 11 boards. Boopie Miller led the team with 16 points and 5 assists, while Nate Calmese added 15 points and 6 assists, despite shooting 35.3% from the field.
Even with their defensive effort, SMU couldn’t keep their opponent under 60 points, allowing them to shoot 36% from the field. The Mustangs gave up 11 two-point field goals on 24 attempts, a 45% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, SMU’s defense held their opponent to 10 made threes on 33 attempts, a 30% success rate. They also sent them to the line 15 times, where they hit 8 free throws, shooting 53%. SMU allowed 8 offensive rebounds in the game.