Alabama State Hornets vs Samford Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/22/23

The Hornets and Bulldogs are set to face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Bulldogs will host the game at Pete Hanna Center in Homewood, AL. The over/under for this game is set at 150 points, and the Bulldogs are the home favorites against the Hornets in a non-conference matchup.

ALABAMA STATE HORNETS VS SAMFORD BULLDOGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Alabama State Hornets +15.5

This game will be played at Pete Hanna Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, November 22nd.

WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
• Even though we have Samford winning straight-up, we like Alabama State at +15.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 150 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Hornets Have What it Takes in Homewood?

Alabama State comes into their fourth game of the season with an overall record of 0-3. In their last five road games, which includes last year, Alabama State has gone 0-5. As of today’s game, Alabama State has a 0-3 record against the spread this season. Taking into account games from last season, Alabama State is 3-6 vs. the spread in their last ten matchups.

Through three games, Alabama State has an over/under record of 2-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 153.3 points per game so far. The Hornets have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 73 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2.

In their recent matchup, the Alabama State offense ended with 75 points against Memphis. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 31.4% and made 10 threes. CJ Hines was the leading scorer for the Hornets, putting up 19 points. In addition, Antonio TJ Madlock contributed 16 points.

At present, the Hornets’ defense is nationally ranked 158th, allowing 77.5 points per game. In their most recent game, the Alabama State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Memphis knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 92 points.

Will the Bulldogs Win at Pete Hanna Center?

Samford comes into their 4th game of the season with a record of 1-2. In their previous five home games, including last year, Samford has a record of 3-2. Heading into their game against Alabama State, Samford currently has a 0-3 ATS record. Looking back at their last three games, the team has gone 0-2 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of +11.

So far, Samford’s games have averaged 148 points per game with the average over/under line being 150.5 points. When analyzing the Bulldogs’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 85 points per game and an over/under record of 4-0.

The Samford offense is coming off a game in which they scored 89 points vs. South Carolina State. Overall their field goal percentage was 44.6% while connecting on 7 threes. The Samford offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 27 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 26% of their looks from outside this season.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 130th in the country, permitting 74.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. South Carolina State, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 44% and a total of 72 points vs. Samford.