Alabama State Hornets vs Merrimack College Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/23

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Hornets versus the Warriors? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Pete Hanna Center in Homewood, AL. The over/under for this game is set at 139.5 points, and the Warriors are the home favorites against the Hornets in a non-conference matchup.

ALABAMA STATE HORNETS VS MERRIMACK COLLEGE WARRIORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Alabama State Hornets +7.5

This game will be played at Pete Hanna Center at 1:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.

WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Alabama State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for Alabama State?

In today’s game against Merrimack College, the Alabama State team comes in with a 1-4 overall record. In their last ten road games, which includes games from last year, Alabama State has a record of 2-8. Against the spread, Alabama State has a record of 1-4 thus far in the current year. In their previous ten games, including those from the previous season, Alabama State is 4-5 ATS.

After five games, Alabama State has an over/under record of 4-1-0, with their games averaging a combined 157.4 points per game so far. When assessing the Hornets’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 3-0, with their games averaging 76 points per game.

In their latest game, Alabama State’s offense looked good, scoring 88 points against North Carolina A&T. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 55.7% and made 13/20 free throws. The Alabama State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 34% of their looks from outside this season.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Alabama State is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 80.3 points per game (183rd). Against North Carolina A&T in their most recent game, the Alabama State defense gave up a total of 73 points while allowing North Carolina A&T to hit 34% of their shots.

Can Merrimack College Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Today marks the 6th game of the season for Merrimack College, who currently have a 2-3 overall record. In their last five home games, including last year, Merrimack College has gone 2-3. Thus far, Merrimack College has a 2-3 record vs. the spread heading into today’s game. Taking into account their performance in the previous season, Merrimack College has gone 4-5 vs. the spread in their last ten games.

Merrimack College’s games have, on average, featured 141 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-2-0. Their average over/under line is currently 132.9 points so far. Looking at the Warriors’ last three games, their over/under record is 0-2 with their games averaging 77 points per game.

In their recent game, the Warriors’ offense concluded with 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73 points per contest. Offensively, the Warriors have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 121st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 359th in percentage and 280th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Warriors’ defense is nationally ranked 115th, allowing 72.0 points per game. Merrimack College’s three-point defense is currently 56th in the country at 6.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 36.2% of their shots vs. Merrimack College.