Alabama State Hornets vs Cincinnati Bearcats NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/27/24

The Hornets and Bearcats are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bearcats will host the game at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH. The over/under for this game is set at 144.5 points, and Cincinnati is favored by -27.5 against Alabama State in a non-conference matchup.
ALABAMA STATE HORNETS VS CINCINNATI BEARCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Alabama State Hornets +27.5
This game will be played at Fifth Third Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, November 27th.
WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-66 in favor of the Bearcats.
- Even though we have Cincinnati winning straight-up, we like Alabama State at +27.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Can Alabama State Lock in a Road Win?
Alabama State Hornets Recent Game/Games
Alabama State fell 97-78 to Akron on Sunday, November 24th, in an away game. The Hornets entered as +8.5 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread.
Alabama State trailed 50-41 at halftime and were outscored 47-37 in the 2nd half. The game’s total points reached 175, surpassing the over/under line of 149.
Alabama State’s offense put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 40.9% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 53%, thanks in large part to hitting 48.5% from beyond the arc, going 16/33 on threes. They struggled inside, shooting just 33.3% on two-point attempts.
Bowen Hardman and Tyler Mack each hit 6 threes, with Hardman shooting 85.7% from deep. Nate Johnson led the team with 25 points, while CJ Hines and Mack added 19 each. The Hornets also shot just 53.3% from the free-throw line.
Alabama State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 97 points on 46% shooting from the field. Opponents hit 50% of their two-point attempts, going 17/34.
From beyond the arc, Alabama State allowed 15 threes on 35 attempts, a 42% clip. They also sent the other team to the line 23 times, where they converted 18 free throws (78%).
Can the Bearcats Lock in a Home Win?
On Saturday, November 23rd, the Bearcats picked up a convincing 81-58 road win over Georgia Tech. Entering the game as -7.5 favorites, Cincinnati not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.
After taking a 45-29 lead into halftime, the Bearcats continued their strong play in the 2nd half, outscoring the Yellow Jackets 36-29. The game’s total points of 139 fell short of the 150.5 O/U line.
Cincinnati’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 81 points on 51.6% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 58.1%, with strong performances from both inside and outside the arc. The Bearcats hit 57.5% of their two-point attempts and connected on 40.9% from three-point range, making 9 of 22 shots from deep.
Connor Hickman was a standout, shooting 75% overall and hitting 2 of 3 from beyond the arc, finishing with 14 points. Dillon Mitchell and Jizzle James also contributed 14 points, with James dishing out 7 assists. As a team, Cincinnati recorded 16 assists and 9 offensive rebounds, while shooting 66.7% from the free-throw line.
Defensively, Cincinnati held their opponent to just 58 points, allowing them to shoot 35% from the field. The Bearcats gave up 16 two-point field goals on 39 attempts, a 41% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, Cincinnati’s defense limited their opponent to 5 made threes on 20 attempts, a 25% success rate. The Bearcats also sent them to the line 20 times, where they hit 11 free throws, shooting 55%.