Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Memorial Stadium in Norman, OK, will be the site for this week 13 matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Oklahoma Sooners. Kick-off is set for 7:30 ET, and ABC will be handling the broadcast. The over/under line is at 47.5 points, and Alabama is the heavy favorite at -14 points. The money line odds are currently -615 for Alabama and +433 for Oklahoma. Alabama comes in with an 8-2 record, while Oklahoma is 5-5 on the season.
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS OKLAHOMA SOONERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -14
This game will be played at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) at 7:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE:
- We have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning this one by a score of 29 to 13
- Not only do we have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -14
- We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points
Will The Alabama Crimson Tide Win As Road Favorites?
Alabama heads into Week 13 with an 8-2 record, holding the 2nd spot in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 40% shot at winning the Southeastern. The Crimson Tide also have a 71.1% chance of making the playoff, the 8th best odds in the nation.
Alabama is 5-0 at home and 2-2 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in eight of their ten games, going 6-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +22.6 points, and they are 5-4 against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points. Alabama’s games have averaged 56.4 points, with an average over/under line of 54.8 points. They are 5-4 against the over/under this season, with eight games featuring higher lines than this week’s total.
Heading into week 13, Alabama’s offense ranks 7th in scoring, averaging 39.5 points per game, and they are 5th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Jalen Milroe has thrown for 2,237 yards, completing 67.6% of his passes, and has a passer rating of 108. He has 15 touchdowns and 6 interceptions this season.
Alabama is 32nd in rushing, averaging 194.4 yards per game. Jam Miller leads the team with 512 rushing yards, 7 touchdowns, and 5 yards per carry. Ryan Williams has 767 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns on 40 catches.
Alabama’s defense heads into their matchup against Oklahoma ranked 9th nationally, allowing just 16.9 points per game. They’ve given up 192.5 passing yards per game (48th) and 133.7 rushing yards per game.
In their last game, Alabama’s defense allowed just 7 points, giving up 202 total yards, including 62 rushing yards on 24 attempts and 140 passing yards. They also forced an interception.
Are The Oklahoma Sooners Going Win In At Upset At Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Oklahoma enters Week 13 at 5-5, ranked 27th in our power rankings. They have a 47.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Sooners are 3-3, while their road record stands at 1-2 this season.
Oklahoma’s ATS record is 4-5, with a 2-1 mark on the road and 2-4 at home. They’ve been favored in four games, going 2-2 ATS as the favorite and 2-3 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +3.2 points per game.
The Sooners’ over/under record is 4-5, with their games averaging 47 points. This week’s line is set at 47.5, slightly below their average line of 48.7 points.
Oklahoma’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 25.1 points per game, which ranks 67th nationally. They are 99th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their third-down conversion rate is just 34.2%, and they rank 110th in passing yards, averaging 183.3 yards per game. Quarterback Jackson Arnold has thrown for 1,243 yards with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 90.
The Sooners are 13th in rushing attempts, averaging 40.9 carries per game, but they are 77th in rushing yards, with 149.7 yards per game. Jovantae Barnes leads the team with 577 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. J.J. Hester is the leading receiver with 265 yards and one touchdown.
Oklahoma’s defense, ranked 34th nationally, is allowing 21.9 points per game this season. In their recent game against Missouri, they gave up 30 points, allowing 381 total yards, including 237 passing yards and 144 rushing yards. Missouri also recorded 20 first downs.
Opponents have averaged 210 passing yards per game against Oklahoma, completing 61.8% of their passes. On the ground, Oklahoma’s defense ranks 26th, allowing just 111 rushing yards per game.