Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida Gators Betting Pick & Prediction 3/5/24

Looking to win big? The Crimson Tide and Gators face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN. The Gators are hosting the game at Exactech Arena in Gainesville, FL. The odds for this Southeastern conference game currently have Florida as the -1.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 175.5 points.

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS FLORIDA GATORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida Gators -1.5

This game will be played at Exactech Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA GATORS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Gators.
• Not only will Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 175.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Crimson Tide Win in Gainesville?

Alabama enters this game with a 20-9 record, including an 11-4 mark in Southeastern Conference play. The Crimson Tide are 7-7 on the road this season, and they are coming off an 81-74 loss to Tennessee.

As the underdog, Alabama has gone 1-6 this season. On the road, the Crimson Tide have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, 3-2 in their last five, and 2-1 in their last three.

As the underdog, Alabama has struggled against the spread this season, going just 2-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Crimson Tide have a 3-7 ATS record. On the road, Alabama is 6-8 vs. the spread this season and their last 3 road ATS mark is 2-1.

Alabama’s over/under record this season sits at 20-8 and the average over/under line in their games is 161.5. Today’s over/under line of 175.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this year of 169.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 185 points.

In their recent matchup, the Alabama offense ended with 74 points against Tennessee. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 38.3% and made 9 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Mark Sears, who holds an average of 20.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada is averaging 13.3 points per game this season.

Currently, the Crimson Tide’s defense holds the 321st rank in the nation, allowing 79.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Tennessee, the Volunteers finished with a field goal percentage of 38% and a total of 81 points vs. Alabama.

Will Florida Find a Way to Win at Home?

Florida is 15-1 at home this season, and they have won seven straight games at home. The Gators are 18-4 as the favorite, and they are favored by 1.5 points in this game. Overall, Florida is 20-9 this season, including a 10-5 record in the Southeastern Conference.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Gators are 9-1, and they are coming off an 82-76 loss to South Carolina. Florida has gone 3-0 in their last three games at home, and they are 10-4 in non-conference games this season.

As the favorite this season, Florida has gone 9-13 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 6-10. Over their last three games at home, the Gators are 0-3 vs. the spread.

Florida’s over/under record this season is 16-11-1 and today’s over/under line of 175.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (155.2). So far, 23 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 151 points.

In their latest game, Florida offense put up 76 points against South Carolina. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 48.2% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Gators hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 150th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 219th in terms of percentage and 138th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Gators’ defense is ranked 291st in the country at 77.2 points per contest. The Florida defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 82 points and allowed South Carolina to connect on 9 threes.