Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/8/25
Planning on watching today’s Falcons and Aztecs game? Catch the action at Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA, as the Aztecs hosts this showdown at 10:30 ET on FS1. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 131.5 points, and San Diego State is favored by -21.5 to win at home against Air Force.
AIR FORCE FALCONS VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons +21.5
This game will be played at Viejas Arena at 10:30 ET on Wednesday, January 8th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Aztecs.
- Even though we have San Diego State winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +21.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Can the Air Force Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Air Force Falcons Recent Game/Games
The Falcons dropped to 3-11 on the season after a 70-65 home loss to Wyoming on Saturday. Air Force entered the game as +3 underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The combined points of 135 exceeded the O/U line of 129.5.
Air Force led 36-33 at halftime but struggled in the second half, scoring 29 points while allowing 37 to the Cowboys.
Air Force put up 65 points in their last game, shooting 56.5% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 65.2%. They connected on 44.4% of their three-pointers, hitting 8 of 18 attempts, and shot 64.3% on two-point shots, going 18 for 28.
The Falcons struggled at the free-throw line, making just 5 of 13 attempts for 38.5%. Wesley Celichowski led the way with 19 points, shooting 8 for 10 overall and 2 for 3 from deep. Dontaie Allen was perfect from the field, hitting all 5 of his shots, including 4 for 4 from beyond the arc.
Even with Air Force’s defense giving up 70 points, they allowed their opponent to shoot 56% from the field, including 64% on two-point attempts. The Falcons also gave up 8 threes on 18 attempts, a 44% success rate.
Air Force sent the other team to the free-throw line 13 times, where they made just 5, shooting 38%. The Falcons limited second-chance points, allowing only 5 offensive rebounds.
Are the Aztecs Ready for a Home Win?
San Diego State improved to 8-3 on the season with a 76-68 win over Boise State on Saturday. The Aztecs were +4 point underdogs going into the game but not only pulled off the upset, they also covered the spread. The total points for the game ended up at 144, surpassing the O/U line of 136.5.
San Diego State led 33-32 at halftime and put up 43 points in the 2nd half while holding Boise State to 36 points after the break.
San Diego State put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 44.3% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 49.2%. They connected on 41.2% of their three-point attempts, hitting 7 of 17 from deep, while shooting 45.5% on two-pointers. At the free-throw line, they made 15 of 24 attempts, good for 62.5%.
Miles Byrd led the way with 22 points, shooting 53.3% overall and 50% from beyond the arc (3/6). Chris Lockett Jr. added 16 points, hitting 3 of 8 from three-point range. The Aztecs grabbed 15 offensive rebounds and dished out 12 assists in the win.
San Diego State’s defense held their opponent to 68 points, with a strong effort from beyond the arc, allowing just 7 threes on 30 attempts (23%).
Despite giving up 21 points from the free-throw line, the Aztecs limited their opponent to 37% shooting overall, including 13/23 (56%) from two-point range.