Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24
At 10:30 ET, this week 14 college football matchup between the Air Force Falcons and San Diego State Aztecs will be played at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. FS1 is handling the television broadcast. The over/under line is currently set at 43.5 points. Air Force is the -3.5-point favorite on the road. The money line odds are -172 for Air Force and +145 for San Diego State. Both teams are 3-8 for the season.
AIR FORCE FALCONS VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons -3.5
This game will be played at Snapdragon Stadium at 10:30 ET on Saturday, November 30th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have the Air Force Falcons winning this one by a score of 23 to 17
- Not only do we have the Air Force Falcons winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points
Will The Air Force Falcons Win As Road Favorites?
Air Force enters Week 14 with a 4-7 record, facing San Diego State. They are ranked 107th in our power rankings and have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Falcons are 2-3 at home and 1-4 on the road this season.
Air Force has been favored in only two games this season, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -5.7 points per game, and they have a 4-6 record against the spread.
Their over/under record stands at 4-6, with an average line of 42.4 points. Air Force games have averaged 41.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 43.5 points.
Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 117th in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 17.8 points per game, placing them 97th nationally. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 86.3 yards per game, ranking 129th. John Busha, the team’s leading passer, has thrown for 415 yards with a passer rating of 32, one touchdown, and five interceptions.
Air Force leads the nation in rushing attempts, averaging 55.8 per game, and they are 12th in rushing yards, with 220.5 per game. Dylan Carson leads the team with 475 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Cade Harris has 292 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Air Force’s defense has allowed 23.5 points per game this season, ranking 44th nationally. In their recent game against Nevada, they gave up 19 points but held Nevada to 94 rushing yards on 25 carries, while allowing 268 passing yards and forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 159 rushing yards per game on 32.5 attempts against Air Force. The secondary has allowed 184.2 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 63.1% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 93.7.
Are The San Diego State Aztecs Going Win In At Upset At Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego State enters Week 14 with a 3-8 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 118th in our power rankings. At home, the Aztecs are 1-3 this season.
They’ve been favored in just two games, going 1-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -8 points, and they are 5-5 against the spread this year.
The over/under line for this week is set at 43.5 points. San Diego State’s games have averaged 50.9 points, with an average over/under line of 53.2 points this season.
San Diego State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.5 points per game, placing them 128th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 34.4%, and their rushing game ranks 99th nationally, with 130.1 yards per game.
Quarterback Danny O’Neil has thrown for 1,951 yards, completing 62.1% of his passes, with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. The Aztecs are 50th in passing attempts, averaging 31.1 per game. Marquez Cooper leads the rushing attack with 1,180 yards and 10 touchdowns.
San Diego State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 29.5 points per game. In their recent game against Utah State, they gave up 41 points, including three passing touchdowns and 323 rushing yards. Overall, they allowed 489 total yards but did manage to force one interception.
Opponents have averaged 204 rushing yards per game against San Diego State, ranking them 154th nationally. The Aztecs have also allowed 221.9 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 66.2% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 98, the highest in the country.