Air Force Falcons vs Portland Pilots Betting Pick & Prediction 12/3/23

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Falcons and Pilots. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Pilots at Chiles Center in Portland, OR. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 134.5 points, and the Pilots are the home favorites against the Falcons in a non-conference matchup.
AIR FORCE FALCONS VS PORTLAND PILOTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons +5.5
This game will be played at Chiles Center at 4:00 ET on Sunday, December 3rd.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Pilots.
- Even though we have Portland winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will the Falcons Defense Show Up on the Road?
After playing eight games, Air Force currently has a 6-2 overall record. In their last ten road games, which includes games from last year, Air Force has a record of 3-7. At the moment, Air Force has an ATS record that is below .500, sitting at 3-5. When playing on the road this season, Air Force is 1-2 ATS, and in their last ten road games, they have a 4-6 (ATS) record.
In eight games, Air Force comes in with an over/under mark of 3-5-0, with their games averaging 127.5 points per game. When analyzing the Falcons’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 126 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.
Against South Dakota, the Air Force had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 66.2 points per game. They scored 58 points and posted a field goal percentage of 35.6% in the game. The team’s top scorer is Ethan Taylor, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 18.8, while Beau Becker also carries a PPG average of 15.4 into the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Air Force defense is giving up an average of 61.2 points per contest. Against South Dakota in their most recent game, the Air Force defense gave up a total of 57 points while allowing South Dakota to hit 39% of their shots.
Does Portland Stand a Chance at Home?
In their game against Air Force, the Falcons have a 5-3 record overall. When playing on the road, the Pilots have yet to win a game, going 0-2, while they are 3-1 at home. As of now, Portland holds a 4-2 ATS record heading into today’s game. Thus far, the Pilots have gone 1-1 ATS on the road and 3-1 vs. the spread at home.
After eight games, Portland has an over/under record of 1-5-0, with their games averaging a combined 153.8 points per game so far. When assessing the Pilots’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 0-2, with their games averaging 163 points per game.
Coming off a good offensive performance, Portland’s offense scored 81 points against Wyoming. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50.9%, and they went 19/23 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Tyler Robertson, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.4, while Tyler Harris also carries a PPG average of 14.9 into the game.
The Pilots’ defense is presently ranked 208th nationally, allowing an average of 77.8 points per contest. Against Wyoming in their most recent game, the Portland defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing Wyoming to hit 50% of their shots.