Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen Betting Pick & Prediction for 10/4

In Week 6 of the 2025 season, the Air Force Falcons will travel to Annapolis, MD, to play against the Navy Midshipmen. The game will take place at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium and is set for Saturday, October 4, 2025, at 12:00 PM. Fans can catch the action on CBS.
Air Force enters the game with a 1-3 record. They have struggled in conference play with a 0-3 record. Navy, on the other hand, has been strong this season with a perfect 4-0 record. They have been especially good at home, winning all three games played there.
Air Force Team Preview
The Air Force Falcons have had a challenging start to their 2025 season. They lost three consecutive games after their opening win against Bucknell Bison, where they scored 49-13. In their recent game against Hawaii, they fell short with a score of 44-35, despite their 216 rushing yards.
Quarterback Liam Szarka leads the team’s passing with 640 yards over four games. Cade Harris is a key player in the receiving group, with 441 yards and two touchdowns. On the ground, Kade Frew has contributed with 101 rushing yards across four games.
Defensively, the Falcons have given up 155 points, ranking them 106th in points against. They have recorded nine sacks and two interceptions so far. The team also faces several injuries, with players like Houston Hendrix and Levi Brown uncertain to play in upcoming games.
Air Force vs Navy Game Day Info
- Sport: NCAA Football
- Teams: Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen
- Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Betting Odds: Air Force +356, Navy -462, Spread: Air Force +12.5 (-110), Navy -12.5 (-111), Total Over/Under: 52.5
Navy Team Preview
The Navy Midshipmen have started the 2025 season strong with four wins. They secured victories at home against Rice Owls and UAB Blazers, and away at Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Their first game was a dominant win over VMI Keydets, ending 52-7.
Navy’s offense has been powered by their running game, ranking second with 1,425 rushing yards. The team has scored 153 points, placing them 31st. Despite a lower rank in passing yards, their ground game has been effective in gaining first downs.
The Midshipmen’s defense has performed well, allowing only 67 points so far. They rank high in interceptions with three and have recovered two fumbles. However, the team faces challenges with injuries, including key players like Dylan Spelios and Aaron Rose who are out for the season.
BTB Betting Pick
The spread for the game is set at Navy -12.5. Navy has allowed only 67 points this season, showing strong defense. Air Force has struggled, allowing 155 points. Navy should cover the spread with a projected score of Navy 28, Air Force 14.
The total for the game is 52.5. Both teams have strong rushing offenses, but Navy’s defense has been solid. This suggests a lower scoring game. The projected total score of 42 points indicates the under is the better pick.