Air Force Falcons vs Fresno State Bulldogs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/17/25

Betting on today’s Falcons and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on MWN. The over/under for this game is set at 142.5 points, and Fresno State is favored by -3 vs. Air Force in a Mountain West conference matchup.
AIR FORCE FALCONS VS FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -3
This game will be played at Save Mart Center at 10:00 ET on Friday, January 17th.
WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
- Not only will Fresno State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Will the Falcons Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Air Force Falcons Recent Game/Games
The Falcons dropped to 3-14 this season after a 68-62 road loss to Nevada on Tuesday. Despite being +19.5 point underdogs, Air Force kept it close and covered the spread.
Air Force led 35-33 at halftime but managed only 27 points in the 2nd half while allowing 35. The total points of 130 slightly exceeded the O/U line of 127.5.
Air Force managed 62 points in their last game, shooting 39.2% from the field and 49% in effective field goal percentage. They connected on 10 of 27 three-point attempts, hitting 37% from deep, while shooting 41.7% on two-pointers. At the free-throw line, they converted 12 of 17 attempts for a 70.6% success rate.
Ethan Taylor led the way with 22 points, hitting 5 of 11 from three-point range and finishing 8 of 16 overall. Tré Coleman added 18 points and 9 rebounds, while Kyle Marshall contributed 12 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists. The Falcons recorded 15 assists as a team, with 7 offensive rebounds.
Despite Air Force’s defensive efforts, they gave up 68 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 55% from the field. The Falcons struggled to contain two-point shots, with the other team hitting 60% of their attempts, going 20/33.
From beyond the arc, Air Force’s defense allowed 6 threes on 14 attempts, a 42% shooting performance. They did manage to send their opponent to the line 23 times, where they shot just 43%.
Can the Bulldogs Deliver Being Favored at Home?
Fresno State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games
The Bulldogs fell to 4-13 on the season after a 77-66 home loss to Nevada on Saturday, January 11th. Despite being +12.5 point underdogs, Fresno State kept the game closer than expected, covering the spread. The total points for the game were 143, which was under the O/U line of 148.5.
Fresno State led 31-30 at halftime but couldn’t maintain their edge, as they were outscored 34-33 in the 2nd half.
Fresno State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 34.5% from the field and 32.3% on two-point attempts. They connected on 37.5% of their threes, hitting 9 of 24 from deep.
Nick Davidson led the way with 20 points and 14 rebounds, shooting 50% from the field. David Douglas Jr. added 16 points, hitting 5 threes at a 41.7% clip.
Fresno State’s defense put up a solid effort, holding their opponent to 77 points on 34% shooting from the field. They limited two-point opportunities effectively, with the other team hitting just 10 of 31 attempts for 32%.
From beyond the arc, Fresno State allowed 9 threes on 24 attempts, a 37% shooting rate. They sent the other team to the free-throw line 27 times, where they converted 19 for 70%. Fresno State also gave up 7 offensive rebounds.