Air Force Falcons vs Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 1/27/24
Betting on today’s Falcons and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on MWN. The over/under for this game is set at 129.5 points, and Fresno State is favored by -4 vs. Air Force in a Mountain West conference matchup.
AIR FORCE FALCONS VS FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -4
This game will be played at Save Mart Center at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bulldogs.
- Not only will Fresno State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Can Air Force Secure a Road Victory?
Despite being the underdog, Air Force has played well on the road this season, going 4-3 compared to just 4-7 at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +5.7, and they are coming off a 90-58 win over UNLV.
So far, the Falcons have gone 2-6 as the underdog this season, and they are 8-10 overall. In Mountain West Conference play, they have gone just 1-5 compared to 7-5 in non-conference action.
As the underdog this season, Air Force has gone 4-4 vs. the spread. On the road, the Falcons have an ATS mark of 5-2 and they have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Overall, Air Force is 7-11 vs. the spread this season.
So far this season, the over/under record for Air Force games is 12-6. Today’s line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (134.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their OU record for the season is 9-1.
In their latest game, Air Force offense put up 90 points against UNLV. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 55.4% and made 14 threes. The top scorer for the Falcons was Ethan Taylor with 22 points, while Rytis Petraitis also chipped in with 18 points.
The Falcons’ defense is presently ranked 81st nationally, allowing an average of 68.1 points per contest. In today’s game, the Air Force defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 58 points.
Will the Bulldogs Find a Way to Win at Home?
After losing their last two games, Fresno State will look to get back on track as they host Air Force as four-point favorites. So far this season, the Bulldogs have gone 7-2 when favored.
With a record of 6-6 at home this season, Fresno State’s average scoring margin in those games is -0.9 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bulldogs have gone 4-6.
As the favorite, Fresno State has an ATS record of 5-4 this season and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 5-7 this season and they are 2-3 in their last 5 home games vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Fresno State games is 11-7. The average over/under line in their games is 138.7 and today’s line of 129.5 is lower than that. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.
Coming off their recent game, the Fresno State offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against Boise State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 52.8%, and they made 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Donavan Yap with 17 points. Isaiah Hill also added 15 points for the Bulldogs.
On defense, Fresno State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.1 points per game. So far, the Fresno State defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.7 times per game (638th).