Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction & Odds – November 14, 2026

Troy visits South Alabama in Mobile with both teams sitting at 4-5. The Jaguars have been stronger at home, while the Trojans bring a defense that has allowed fewer yards per game.

Game details and odds

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 pm EST · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Total: 55.5 — over -112, under -108.

DraftKings odds checked November 14, 2026 04:01 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Troy needs its defense to set the pace

Troy averages 22.3 points per game, making its defense especially important in this matchup. The Trojans allow 26.2 points and 344.8 yards per game, including 130.3 rushing yards. Donnie Smith leads Troy with eight sacks, a potential source of pressure against South Alabama's productive offense.

Troy's recent results show why controlling the game matters. The Trojans scored 55 in a win over Southern Miss, but followed with six points in a loss at Louisiana and 14 in a home loss to UL Monroe. A 24-21 road win over James Madison showed they can respond in a close contest. Their latest game, however, was a 41-17 home loss to Louisiana Tech. Troy has produced both an explosive win and a narrow road victory, but its offense has not sustained that level across these games.

South Alabama's offense faces a consistency test

South Alabama averages 32.4 points and 413.2 yards per game, with 207.1 yards coming on the ground. Keenan Phillips leads the Jaguars with 595 rushing yards and six touchdowns. That production gives South Alabama a clear offensive route, though its defense allows 32.2 points per game.

South Alabama has also shown two different versions of its offense recently. It scored 52 in a home win over UL Monroe and 56 in a road win over Arkansas State, then managed 13 at Marshall and 20 at home against Louisiana Tech. The Jaguars scored 26 in their latest game, a two-point loss at Louisiana. Those results leave a question for this matchup: can South Alabama recover the scoring rhythm behind its wins, or will the quieter outings continue? Its last three games have all ended in losses.

Injury news

Troy Trojans: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

South Alabama Jaguars: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Availability checked November 14, 2026 04:01 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: South Alabama Jaguars.

South Alabama's stronger home record and greater scoring output give it the edge, particularly if its ground game gets going. Troy's tighter defense makes this a less certain call.

Original winner pick recorded November 14, 2026 04:01 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.