New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears Prediction & Odds – November 14, 2026

New Mexico State visits Missouri State with both teams at 3-6, but their records do not tell quite the same story. The Aggies have struggled to score, while the Bears have had trouble preventing points.

Game details and odds

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:00 pm EST · Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Total: 49.5 — over -105, under -115.

Draft Kings odds checked November 14, 2026 02:00 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Aggies need their offense to reappear

New Mexico State averages 20.7 points per game, making sustained offense a central question in this matchup. James Jones has 940 rushing yards on 154 carries, giving the Aggies a productive ground option. Their defense allows 25.8 points per game, a better mark than Missouri State's.

The Aggies' recent results show how sharply their scoring can swing. They beat Western Kentucky 34-13 and won 30-24 at Sam Houston, but managed just three points at Florida International before being shut out by Jacksonville State. A 30-14 loss to Liberty followed. Those results make the Sam Houston win an important reminder that New Mexico State can produce enough offense to win on the road, even as its two most recent games raise a clear question about whether it can do so consistently.

Bears look to build on their home results

Missouri State is 3-1 at home and averages 23.9 points per game. Isaiah Myers has 941 receiving yards and eight touchdowns, offering a notable receiving threat. The concern is on the other side of the ball: the Bears allow 30.0 points and 424.4 yards per game.

Missouri State's last two home games offer encouragement: it beat Kennesaw State 24-21 and then held Sam Houston to three points in a 24-3 win. The road results in this stretch have been less convincing. The Bears lost 34-13 at Western Kentucky, surrendered 61 points at Delaware and fell 23-20 at Florida International in their most recent game. Returning home could help them regain the form shown against Sam Houston, but the narrow loss at Florida International also shows they cannot rely on location alone.

Injury news

New Mexico State Aggies: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Missouri State Bears: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Availability checked November 14, 2026 02:00 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Missouri State Bears.

Missouri State's home record and recent home wins give the Bears the edge, especially with New Mexico State struggling to score lately. The Aggies' road win at Sam Houston keeps this from looking comfortable.

Original winner pick recorded November 14, 2026 02:00 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.