Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Odds – November 14, 2026

Ottawa brings the stronger early-season record to PPG Paints Arena, but Pittsburgh has been more competitive at home than its overall mark suggests. Special teams and defensive consistency could shape this meeting.

Game details and odds

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 pm EST · PPG Paints Arena

Total: 6.5 — over -108, under -112.

Draft Kings odds checked November 13, 2026 19:00 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Ottawa’s Record Meets a Special-Teams Test

The Senators are 12-6-2 overall and 5-4-1 on the road. Tim Stutzle leads them with 10 goals, 14 assists and 24 points, while the team allows 3.00 goals per game. Their 11.8% power play leaves room for Pittsburgh to contain an attack that otherwise has produced 3.10 goals per game.

Ottawa has won three of its last five completed games, most recently edging Colorado 4-3 after a 3-2 loss to Washington. The Senators also beat Utah 4-2 and won 2-1 at Buffalo, showing they can get through close games without needing a large scoring output. The 6-3 loss at Anaheim is the warning: when the goals against mount, Ottawa’s offense may not keep pace. Its recent results offer both a case for trusting its competitiveness and a reminder that its defensive performances have varied.

Pittsburgh’s Home Record and Defensive Pressure

Pittsburgh is 7-10-2 overall but 4-3-1 at home. Its 21.1% power play offers a possible route past Ottawa’s 75.0% penalty kill, though the Penguins allow 3.47 goals per game. Erik Karlsson leads Pittsburgh with 19 points, and Tommy Novak has a team-high seven goals.

The Penguins arrive off a 3-2 win at San Jose, their second victory in three completed games after beating Los Angeles 5-2 and losing 5-2 at Anaheim. That stretch shows they can respond to a lopsided defeat, but it has not settled their defensive questions. Their two preceding home games ended in a 6-2 loss to Boston and a 3-2 loss to Vegas. Pittsburgh has shown it can score enough to win away from home; its latest home results make preventing another difficult night the more pressing issue.

Injury news

Ottawa Senators: Nick Cousins – Out (Upper Body); Andre Burakovsky – Injured Reserve (Lower Body); Warren Foegele – Injured Reserve (Knee); William Eklund – Injured Reserve (Ankle).

Pittsburgh Penguins: Elmer Soderblom – Injured Reserve (Upper Body); Bryan Rust – Injured Reserve (Lower Body); Trevor van Riemsdyk – Injured Reserve (Lower Body); Ryan Graves – Injured Reserve (Knee).

Availability checked November 13, 2026 19:00 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Ottawa Senators.

Ottawa’s stronger overall record and lower goals-against average give it the edge. Pittsburgh’s home record and power-play advantage keep the pick close, especially if the Senators’ penalty kill is tested.

Original winner pick recorded November 13, 2026 19:00 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.