Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Odds – November 12, 2026

The Dallas Mavericks bring a three-game winning streak to Target Center, where the Minnesota Timberwolves have won four straight. Both teams are off to strong starts, making this a test of contrasting recent defensive form.

Game details and odds

Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 8:00 pm EST · Target Center

Total: 226.5 — over -110, under -110.

DraftKings odds checked November 12, 2026 04:03 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Dallas Brings Scoring Punch to Minneapolis

Dallas enters at 7-4, averaging 114.9 points per game while allowing 110.3. Cooper Flagg leads the Mavericks with 25.9 points and 6.9 assists per game. Their 48% field-goal shooting gives them a dependable offensive foundation, but their 2-2 road record leaves room to prove it travels.

The Mavericks have won three consecutive completed games, all at home, with 125 points against Indiana, 130 against Brooklyn and 112 against Utah. The narrow 125-122 victory over the Pacers showed they can score through a tight finish, while the 130-93 result against the Nets showed a much firmer defensive effort. Before that run, Dallas lost 112-111 at San Antonio and 115-100 to Sacramento. The scoring surge is encouraging, but those results leave a question about whether the same control will carry into a road game.

Minnesota’s Defense Sets the Challenge

Minnesota is 8-3 overall and 4-1 at home, scoring 118.1 points per game while allowing 107.0. The Timberwolves also average 48.8 rebounds and shoot 37% from three-point range. Rudy Gobert’s 12.1 rebounds per game could help make possessions harder to extend for Dallas.

The Timberwolves have answered a 121-111 loss at San Antonio with four straight wins. They held Milwaukee and Utah to 100 points apiece in home victories, and their road wins over Houston and New Orleans came with 107 and 109 points allowed. Minnesota scored between 112 and 117 points in those four wins, a steadier pattern than the wider swings in Dallas’s recent results. The defensive consistency matters here: if Minnesota can keep another opponent from turning the game into a high-scoring exchange, its offense has recently supplied enough support.

Injury news

Dallas Mavericks: Dereck Lively II – Out (Foot); Tarik Biberovic – Out (Heel); Sergio de Larrea – Out (Knee); Morez Johnson Jr. – Day-To-Day (Lower Leg).

Minnesota Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards – Out (Knee); Donte DiVincenzo – Out (Achilles).

Availability checked November 12, 2026 04:03 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Minnesota Timberwolves.

Minnesota gets the nod for its consistent defense across four wins, including two at home. Dallas’s recent scoring surge makes this a difficult assignment, though those three victories all came in Dallas.

Original winner pick recorded November 12, 2026 04:03 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.