Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Odds – November 9, 2026

Dallas hosts Indiana at American Airlines Center with a chance to extend its two-game winning streak. The Pacers arrive with a better road record than their overall mark suggests, complicating an otherwise favorable matchup for the Mavericks.

Game details and odds

Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:00 pm EST · American Airlines Center

Total: 226.5 — over -115, under -106.

Draft Kings odds checked November 10, 2026 00:00 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Indiana’s Road Results Offer a Counterpoint

Indiana is 3-7 overall but 3-2 on the road, making its travel record more encouraging than its broader start. Pascal Siakam leads the Pacers at 21.4 points per game, while Andrew Nembhard averages 7.0 assists. Their challenge is generating enough offense: Indiana averages 110.3 points and shoots 33% from three.

The Pacers’ recent scores show how narrow their path can be when the offense slows. They beat Memphis 107-103 on the road, but scored 104 against Atlanta and 90 against Brooklyn in successive losses. A 125-point outing against Miami did not hold up defensively in a 145-125 defeat. Most recently, Indiana lost 114-102 to Denver in a neutral-site game in Mexico City. The Memphis win shows it can close out a lower-scoring contest; the other results highlight the need for more consistent scoring or tighter defense.

Dallas Brings Momentum Back Home

Dallas enters 6-4 overall and 4-2 at home, averaging 113.9 points while allowing 109.1 per game. Cooper Flagg leads the team with 24.0 points and 7.0 assists per game. The Mavericks also average 44.7 rebounds, giving them a statistical edge on the glass over Indiana’s 42.1.

The Mavericks have responded to a 115-100 home loss to Sacramento and a 112-111 road loss to San Antonio with two convincing home wins. They held Utah to 100 points in a 112-100 victory, then beat Brooklyn 130-93. Dallas also defeated Houston 116-111 earlier in this stretch, though the Sacramento result shows that playing at home has not guaranteed a clean offensive night. The latest two games offer the stronger case for Dallas: it paired productive scoring with defense that kept both opponents well below its own totals.

Injury news

Indiana Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton – Out (Hamstring); Johnny Furphy – Out (Knee); Ben Sheppard – Out (Knee).

Dallas Mavericks: Morez Johnson Jr. – Out (Leg); Sergio de Larrea – Out (Knee); Tarik Biberovic – Out (Heel); Dereck Lively II – Out (Foot).

Availability checked November 10, 2026 00:00 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Dallas Mavericks.

Dallas gets the nod because its recent home wins combined strong scoring with solid defense. Indiana’s 3-2 road record keeps this from being straightforward, but its uneven recent offense leaves less room for error.

Original winner pick recorded November 9, 2026 19:00 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.