Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Odds – November 7, 2026

Montreal arrives in Toronto with the stronger record, but the Maple Leafs bring a more productive power play. Their meeting at Scotiabank Arena puts the Canadiens’ road success against Toronto’s offensive strengths.

Game details and odds

Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 7:00 pm EST · Scotiabank Arena

Total: 6.5 — over -115, under -105.

DraftKings odds checked November 7, 2026 20:00 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Canadiens Bring Road Results, but Defense Bears Watching

Montreal is 10-3-3 overall and 5-1-1 on the road, making its ability to travel well the clearest advantage entering this matchup. The Canadiens score 3.44 goals per game, with Cole Caufield leading the team with 11 goals. Their 78.5% penalty kill, however, leaves room for Toronto to respond.

Montreal has won four of its five listed completed games, including road victories over Dallas and St. Louis. The 2-0 result against the Blues showed a different route to a win from the 5-2 defeat of the Stars. More recently, the Canadiens beat Pittsburgh and Utah by identical 5-4 scores, with a 5-4 loss to Winnipeg between those games. That run shows Montreal can keep producing enough offense to win close contests, but the repeated four-goal concessions suggest less margin for error when those games stay tight.

Maple Leafs Have Special-Teams Punch to Answer

Toronto scores 3.65 goals per game, and its 28.8% power play offers a clear way to test Montreal’s penalty kill. Auston Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 11 goals and 26 points. Toronto is 8-7-2 overall and 4-4-1 at home, so its scoring edge has not translated into consistent home results.

Toronto’s five listed completed games show both its ceiling and its volatility. The Maple Leafs scored seven in a 7-2 win at Edmonton and followed a 5-4 loss at Seattle with a 4-2 victory at Vancouver. Yet they also fell 5-2 at Calgary and lost 3-2 to Utah in their most recent game. The Vancouver result shows they can settle a game down after a high-scoring defeat; the Utah loss shows that approach has not carried over consistently. Toronto needs more than a brief offensive surge to avoid another narrow setback.

Injury news

Montreal Canadiens: Josh Anderson – Out (Personal); Ivan Demidov – Injured Reserve (Ankle); Mike Matheson – Out (Lower Body); Sam Montembeault – Injured Reserve (Lower Body); Bryce Pickford – Injured Reserve (Undisclosed).

Toronto Maple Leafs: Kirill Marchenko – Injured Reserve (Lower Body); Miles Wood – Injured Reserve (Undisclosed); Nick Blankenburg – Injured Reserve (Upper Body); Marshall Rifai – Injured Reserve (Lower Body); Max Domi – Injured Reserve (Back).

Availability checked November 7, 2026 20:00 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Montreal Canadiens.

Montreal’s road record and its recent wins in different types of games give it the slight edge. Toronto’s stronger power play is the main counterargument, particularly if the Canadiens take penalties.

Original winner pick recorded November 7, 2026 20:00 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.