Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 5/28/25

At 8:30 ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves (+281) will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (-350) in a Western Northwest division matchup. The over/under line for this game is set at 220.5.

Oklahoma City is favored by 8.5 points and has an overall record of 68-14. The Timberwolves are 49-33 and are currently 6th in the Western Conference.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:30 ET on Wednesday, May 28th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 148-129 in favor of the Thunder.
• Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.2% and knocking down 18 threes.

Is a Win at Oklahoma City Possible for the Timberwolves?

The Timberwolves fell to 49-33 on the season after a 128-126 loss to the Thunder on Monday. Minnesota was +3 point underdogs heading into the game, and while they didn’t get the win, they did cover the spread. The total points for the game were 254, well over the 219-point line.

Oklahoma City took control early, leading 37-30 after the 1st quarter and 28-27 in the 2nd. Minnesota made a push in the 3rd, outscoring the Thunder 28-25, and they continued to fight in the 4th, winning the quarter 41-38, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

In their 128-126 loss to the Thunder, the Timberwolves shot 51.2% from the field and hit 18 threes at a 43.9% clip. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the way with 23 points, knocking down 5 threes at 62.5%, while Jaden McDaniels added 22 points, and Donte DiVincenzo contributed 21 points, also hitting 5 threes at 62.5%.

McDaniels scored 10 points in the 1st and 4th quarters, while Alexander-Walker added 7 points in the final period. DiVincenzo also had 8 points in the 4th, and Anthony Edwards and Naz Reid each added 6 points in the final quarter.

The Timberwolves’ defense struggled in the 1st and 4th quarters, giving up 37 and 38 points, respectively, in a 128-126 loss to the Thunder. Despite a solid defensive effort in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, they couldn’t contain Oklahoma City, who shot 50% from the field.

Minnesota allowed 16 threes on 43% shooting from beyond the arc and sent the Thunder to the line 21 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Timberwolves also gave up 19 offensive rebounds while recording 8 steals and 3 blocks.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Oklahoma City?

The Thunder improved to 68-14 this season with a 128-126 win over the Timberwolves on Monday. Oklahoma City was favored by 3 points but didn’t cover the spread, while the game’s total of 254 points exceeded the O/U line of 219 by 35 points.

Oklahoma City jumped out to a 37-30 lead after the 1st quarter and extended their lead to 90-85 heading into the 4th. Despite being outscored 41-38 in the final period, the Thunder held on for the win.

In their win over the Timberwolves, the Thunder shot 50.5% from the field and hit 16 threes at a 43.2% clip. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 40 points, 9 rebounds, and 10 assists, despite shooting just 43.3% from the field and 28.6% from deep.

Jalen Williams contributed 34 points, hitting 6 threes at 66.7%, while Chet Holmgren added 21 points, making 2 threes at 50%. Williams scored 14 points in the 4th quarter, while Gilgeous-Alexander added 11, and Holmgren chipped in 9.

Despite giving up 126 points, the Thunder managed to secure the win over the Timberwolves. Oklahoma City allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter, 27 in the 2nd, and 28 in the 3rd, but their defense struggled in the 4th, where they gave up 41 points.

Defensively, the Thunder allowed Minnesota to shoot 51% from the field, including 43% from beyond the arc, where the Timberwolves hit 18 threes. Oklahoma City sent Minnesota to the line 28 times, where they made 22 free throws. The Thunder also allowed 19 offensive rebounds but recorded 14 steals and 5 blocks.