Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 5/24/25

At 8:30 ET, the Timberwolves (-144) will host the Thunder (+123) in a Northwest Division matchup. The Thunder are favored by 2.5 points and the over/under line is set at 218.

Minnesota is currently 6th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest Division. They have lost two straight games and have a record of 49-33. On the other hand, the Thunder are 1st in the West and 1st in the Northwest. They have won three straight and are 68-14 overall.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, May 24th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 149-128 in favor of the Thunder.
• Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down 18 threes.

Can the Thunder Pull Off a Win at Minneapolis?

The Thunder improved to 68-14 this season with a 118-103 win over the Timberwolves on Thursday. Playing at home, Oklahoma City entered the game as -8 point favorites and covered the spread. The combined score of 221 points just cleared the O/U line of 217.5.

A key moment in the game was a 10-0 run by the Thunder, which extended their lead from 86-69 to 96-69. They dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring Minnesota 35-21, and although the Timberwolves won the 4th quarter 32-25, the Thunder had already built a commanding 93-71 lead going into the final period.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Timberwolves, scoring 38 points with 8 assists and shooting 57.1% from the field. Jalen Williams added 26 points and 10 rebounds, hitting 60% of his shots, while Chet Holmgren contributed 22 points.

Oklahoma City shot 50% from the field but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 9 threes at a 27.3% rate. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 11 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, and Williams added 11 points in the 4th.

Defensively, the Thunder were strong through the first three quarters, allowing just 25 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters and 21 in the 3rd. They gave up 32 points in the 4th but still held the Timberwolves to 103 points on 41% shooting.

From beyond the arc, Oklahoma City limited Minnesota to 11 made threes on 28% shooting. The Thunder also recorded 9 steals and 3 blocks.

Can the Timberwolves Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

The Timberwolves fell to 49-33 on the season after a 118-103 road loss to the Thunder on Thursday. Minnesota entered the game as +8 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 221 points went over the pre-game line of 217.5.

Oklahoma City took control with a 10-0 run, stretching their lead from 86-69 to 96-69. Minnesota trailed 93-71 going into the 4th quarter but outscored the Thunder 32-25 in the final period.

In their 118-103 loss to the Thunder, the Timberwolves struggled offensively, shooting just 41.4% from the field and 28.2% from three-point range, making 11 threes in total. Anthony Edwards led the way with 32 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists, hitting 46.2% of his shots.

Jaden McDaniels added 22 points, connecting on 4 threes at a 50% rate, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker contributed 17 points, hitting 3 threes at 75% efficiency. Edwards scored 8 points in each quarter, and Alexander-Walker added 11 of his points in the 4th.

Defensively, the Timberwolves gave up 118 points to the Thunder, allowing 29 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters and 35 in the 3rd. They tightened up in the 4th, giving up just 25 points. Overall, Minnesota allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 50% from the field.

On the bright side, the Timberwolves limited the Thunder to just 9 made threes on 27% shooting. Minnesota also recorded 28 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and finished the game with 7 blocks.