Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 5/22/25
This article was published on May 22, 2025. Today’s picks NBA picks

At 8:30 ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves will travel to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder. The Thunder are currently favored by 7.5 points and have a record of 68-14, which is good for 1st in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves are 49-33 and are 6th in the West.
This game will be played at the Paycom Center and can be seen on ESPN. The over/under line for the game is currently set at 215 points.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5
This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:30 ET on Thursday, May 22nd.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 149-129 in favor of the Thunder.
- Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.4% and knocking down 18 threes.
Is a Win at Oklahoma City Possible for the Timberwolves?
The Timberwolves fell to 49-33 this season after a 114-88 road loss to the Thunder on Tuesday. Minnesota entered the game as +7 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 202, falling short of the 219-point line.
After leading 48-44 at halftime, the Thunder went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 60-58 to 68-60. Minnesota struggled in the 3rd and 4th quarters, being outscored 32-18 and 38-22, respectively.
In their 114-88 loss to the Thunder, the Timberwolves struggled offensively, shooting just 34.9% from the field and 29.4% from three-point range. Despite the poor shooting, they made 15 threes in the game.
Julius Randle led the way for Minnesota, hitting 5 threes at an 83.3% clip and finishing with 28 points and 8 rebounds. Anthony Edwards added 18 points and 9 boards, while Donte DiVincenzo contributed 9 points, making 3 threes despite shooting 21.4% from the field.
The Timberwolves started strong defensively, giving up just 20 points in the 1st quarter and 24 in the 2nd, but they struggled in the 2nd half, allowing 32 points in the 3rd and 38 in the 4th, leading to a 114-88 loss to the Thunder. Overall, Minnesota allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 50% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Thunder hit 11 threes on 52% shooting. The Timberwolves also sent the Thunder to the free-throw line 26 times, where they made 21. Minnesota recorded 30 defensive rebounds, giving up 9 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 7 blocks.
Will the Thunder Defense Show Up at Home?
The Thunder improved to 68-14 this season with a 114-88 win over the Timberwolves on Tuesday. Playing at home, Oklahoma City was favored by 7 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 202 points fell short of the 219-point line.
After trailing 48-44 at halftime, the Thunder took control with a 10-0 run, stretching the score from 60-58 to 68-60. They dominated the rest of the game, outscoring Minnesota 32-18 in the 3rd quarter and 38-22 in the 4th.
In the Thunder’s win over the Timberwolves, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 31 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter. Jalen Williams added 9 of his 19 points in the 3rd, while Chet Holmgren contributed 9 of his 15 points in the final period.
Oklahoma City shot 50% from the field, with 11 made threes at a 52.4% clip. Gilgeous-Alexander shot just 37%, while Holmgren connected at 66.7%.
The Thunder put on a defensive clinic against the Timberwolves, holding them to just 88 points on Tuesday. Oklahoma City allowed 23 points in the 1st quarter and 25 in the 2nd, but their best effort came in the 3rd, where they gave up only 18 points. They wrapped up the game by allowing 22 points in the 4th.
Overall, the Thunder limited Minnesota to 34% shooting from the field, including 29% from three-point range, where the Timberwolves made 15 threes. Oklahoma City also sent Minnesota to the free-throw line 21 times, where they made 15. The Thunder finished with 13 steals and 3 blocks.
