Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 5/20/25

At 8:30 ET, the 68-14 Thunder will host the 49-33 Timberwolves in a Western Northwest division matchup. Oklahoma City is currently favored by 7 points, and the over/under line is set at 219.

ESPN will televise the game from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder have won two straight games and are currently the top seed in the Western Conference. Minnesota is 6th in the West and 3rd in the Northwest.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -7

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:30 ET on Tuesday, May 20th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 127-117 in favor of the Thunder.
• Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 36 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists.
• From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 13 threes.

Do the Timberwolves Have a Shot at a Road Win?

The Timberwolves fell to 49-33 on the season after a 114-88 loss to the Thunder on Tuesday. Minnesota, who were +7 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 202 fell short of the 219 O/U line.

After leading 48-44 at halftime, the Thunder went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 60-58 to 68-60. Minnesota struggled in the 2nd half, getting outscored 32-18 in the 3rd quarter and 38-22 in the 4th.

In their 114-88 loss to the Thunder, the Timberwolves struggled offensively, shooting just 34.9% from the field and 29.4% from three-point range. Despite the poor shooting, they connected on 15 threes overall.

Julius Randle led the way with 28 points, hitting 5 threes at an 83.3% clip, and added 8 rebounds. Anthony Edwards contributed 18 points and 9 boards, while Donte DiVincenzo chipped in 9 points, making 3 threes despite shooting just 21.4% from the field.

Defensively, the Timberwolves started strong but faltered in the 2nd half, giving up 32 points in the 3rd quarter and 38 in the 4th, leading to a 114-88 loss to the Thunder. Minnesota allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 50% from the field.

The Timberwolves limited the Thunder to 11 made threes, but Oklahoma City hit them at a 52% clip. Minnesota also sent the Thunder to the line 26 times, where they made 21 free throws. The Timberwolves recorded 5 steals and 7 blocks.

Can the Thunder Grab a Win at Home?

The Thunder improved to 68-14 this season with a 114-88 win over the Timberwolves on Tuesday. Playing at home, Oklahoma City entered the game as -7 favorites and covered the spread. The combined score of 202 points fell short of the 219-point O/U line.

After trailing 23-20 at the end of the 1st quarter and 25-24 in the 2nd, the Thunder took control with a 10-0 run, extending the score from 60-58 to 68-60. They dominated the 3rd quarter 32-18 and closed out the game by outscoring the Timberwolves 38-22 in the 4th.

In the Thunder’s win over the Timberwolves, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 31 points, adding 12 in the 3rd quarter. Jalen Williams contributed 19 points, 9 of which came in the 3rd, while Chet Holmgren added 15, scoring 9 in the final period.

Oklahoma City shot 50% from the field and connected on 11 threes at a 52.4% rate. Gilgeous-Alexander shot 37% from the field, with Williams hitting 38.9%, while Holmgren shot 66.7%.

The Thunder put on a defensive clinic against the Timberwolves, holding them to just 88 points on 34% shooting. Oklahoma City gave up 23 points in the 1st quarter and 25 in the 2nd, but they really locked down in the 3rd, allowing just 18 points. They finished strong in the 4th, giving up 22 points.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder limited Minnesota to 29% shooting, with the Timberwolves hitting 15 threes. Oklahoma City sent Minnesota to the line 21 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Thunder also recorded 13 steals and 3 blocks in the game.