San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 1/19/25

At 3:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-148) will host the San Antonio Spurs (+126) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 3 points, and the over/under line is set at 219.5.

Miami enters this game on a 3-game losing streak and is 20-20 on the season. San Antonio is 19-21 and has lost 2 straight. Tip-off will take place at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on FDSS.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Antonio Spurs +3

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 3:00 ET on Sunday, January 19th.

WHY BET THE SAN ANTONIO SPURS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 131-129 in favor of the Spurs.
  • Our projections have Victor Wembanyama finishing with 24 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Spurs finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.7% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can The Spurs Secure a Win at Miami?

The Spurs fell to 19-21 on the season after a 140-112 home loss to the Grizzlies on Friday. San Antonio, who were favored by 1 point, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 252 points exceeded the over/under line of 236.5 by 15.5 points.

After a close first half, the Grizzlies took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Spurs 40-22. Memphis then went on an 18-0 run, stretching the score from 88-86 to 104-88, and outscored San Antonio 38-26 in the final quarter.

In the Spurs’ 140-112 loss to the Grizzlies, Devin Vassell led the way with 21 points, including 15 in the 3rd quarter. Stephon Castle added 20 points, with 10 coming in the opening period, while Victor Wembanyama contributed 19 points and 12 rebounds, scoring 10 in the 4th quarter.

San Antonio shot 47.6% from the field, with 13 made threes at a 36.1% clip. Vassell and Wembanyama each hit 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep.

Defensively, the Spurs struggled against the Grizzlies, giving up 140 points on Friday. San Antonio allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter, 35 in the 2nd, and things worsened after halftime, with 40 points allowed in the 3rd and 38 in the 4th.

The Grizzlies shot 56% from the field, including 43% from three-point range, where they made 19 threes. The Spurs sent Memphis to the line 15 times, where they converted 11 free throws. San Antonio finished with 30 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 8 blocks.

Will the Heat Win at Home?

The Heat fell to 20-20 on the season after a 133-113 home loss to the Nuggets on Friday. Miami entered the game as +3 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 246, exceeding the pre-game O/U line of 228.5 by 17.5 points.

Miami trailed 30-24 after the 1st quarter and 67-55 at halftime. They kept pace with Denver in the 3rd quarter, both teams scoring 31 points, but the Nuggets pulled away in the 4th, outscoring the Heat 35-27.

In their 133-113 loss to the Nuggets, the Heat shot 49.5% from the field but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 27.3% clip. Tyler Herro led Miami with 22 points, adding 7 in both the 1st and 2nd quarters.

Jimmy Butler contributed 18 points, with 10 coming in the 3rd quarter. Nikola Jovic and Bam Adebayo each added 16 points, while Terry Rozier scored 10 of his 13 points in the 4th quarter.

The Heat struggled defensively against the Nuggets, giving up 133 points on 54% shooting. Denver scored at least 30 points in every quarter, including 37 in the 2nd. Miami also allowed 16 threes at a 48% clip.

From the line, the Nuggets went 17/19. The Heat gave up 7 offensive rebounds while recording just 2 steals and no blocks.